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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: Wharf Rat who wrote (1271543)

10/21/2020 9:27:13 AM

From: Wharf Rat

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House Districts Full of Danger Signs for Trump
Political Wireby Taegan Goddard

David Wasserman: “In late October of 2016, district-level polling was full of flashing red warning signs for Hillary Clinton: from northern Wisconsin to New York’s Southern Tier and Michigan’s Upper Peninsula, single-digit leads for Donald Trump in September had expanded to double digits in heavily white working-class areas. And although much of this party polling was never released publicly, it turned out to be prescient.”

“Fast forward to 2020: district-level polls are full of danger signs for Trump. In both parties’ private surveys — used to make key resource allocation decisions — he’s routinely underperforming his 2016 margins by eight to ten points, consistent with national polls. As a result, one well-placed GOP member told us this week ‘it would be a pleasant surprise if we only lost ten House seats.'”

The Cook Political Report made 12 House race ratings changes, 11 of them towards the Democrats.

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