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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 382.87-0.8%Nov 13 4:00 PM EST
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marcher
To: TobagoJack who wrote (163538)11/3/2020 5:18:31 AM
From: Snowshoe1 Recommendation   of 217753
 
re "Do we know what the odds were at this same time to Election Day back in 2016?"

From Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight.com...

Biden’s Favored In Our Final Presidential Forecast, But It’s A Fine Line Between A Landslide And A Nail-Biter

fivethirtyeight.com

Biden’s standing is considerably stronger than Clinton’s at the end of the 2016 race. His lead is larger than Clinton’s in every battleground state, and more than double her lead nationally. Our model forecasts Biden to win the popular vote by 8 percentage points,1 more than twice Clinton’s projected margin at the end of 2016.

2020 Final Forecast
projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Biden favored 89 to 10 vs. Trump.

Note: Trump can win and why a 10 percent chance needs to be taken seriously.

2016 Final Forecast
projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Clinton favored 71.4 to 28.6 vs. Trump.

Note: Why FiveThirtyEight Gave Trump A Better Chance Than Almost Anyone Else (in 2016)
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