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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum

GLD 371.65

-1.1%

Nov 17 4:00 PM EST

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To: arun gera who wrote (165059)	11/11/2020 9:14:27 PM
From: sense	Read Replies (1) of 217847

A pretty simple matter... that I got right at the time, and not re-inventing it now ? The math works. Once you peg the right equations... its quite predictive. And, the metric in the occupancy, as you noted... is kind of hard to argue with... If the hospitals are empty... that's a tell. If they're overly full... same thing. Otherwise, is a matter of percentages versus TIME... and not overly complex rate computations... Either go MORE draconian... to kill it off entirely in less time... by isolation rather than quarantine... or massage the numbers realizing you can't make everything stop without hurting people more from stopping everything than from having them get the virus. But short of isolation... quarantine that slows it dramatically, but temporarily, only prolongs it... making it more disruptive ? Isolation unlikely to work beyond early stage timely action. Delay... if you do have ability to improve treatment fast... makes sense. That's we we are now ? Mortality is way down ? That's not because "it was always not a real threat" as some pose now. My guess is a lot will be learned from this bug... about re-prioritizing work and resources to find better treatment options faster, rather that focus on vaccines... Genomics focused on treatment probably more useful than doing what Pasteur and Bill Gates would want to do ? The responses of the medical community with primary responsibility for this... were abysmal... just could not have been worse... A real challenge, now, trying to restore trust... that was not well placed before.

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