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Strategies & Market Trends : The Rational Analyst

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To: Scott H. Davis who wrote (282)2/1/1998 1:10:00 PM
From: HeyRainier  Read Replies (2) of 1720
 
[ PERLF ]

Scott and Trackman:

Thank you. I stand corrected. I am digging through the balance sheets from the annual reports:

The 1997 Annual Report (You will need Adobe Acrobat):

perle.com

The 1996 Annual Report:

perle.com

Also, I was wondering if you have a copy of Michale Murphy's book, Every Investor's Guide to High-Tech Stocks & Mutual Funds.There are some interesting valuation methods he presents there, in particular, the price-to-growth flow ratio. A fair P/GF ratio, which includes the R&D expenditures of a company, is from 10x to 14x.

If you have a copy, please look at PERLF's P/GF ratio, and tell me if you are getting a P/GF ratio in the vicinity of 2 - 3 that I briefly calculated for Perle (I don't know the currency translation from Canadian Dollars to US Dollars, but I just divided the R&D figure by 1.2--correct me if this number is too small).

From the text:

"...Anything under 8x starts to get our attention, and under 5x we really get interested. The P/GF ratio can get astonishingly low--e.g., under 2x. That's when we mortgage the ranch!"

As I don't have a ranch to mortgage, I can't quite do what he suggests.

This is a very interesting company and situation we have here. I will call the company up again for a 3rd conversation. My notes from that and the previous conversations will follow.

Regards,

Rainier
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