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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna

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To: William H Huebl who wrote (13732)2/1/1998 2:50:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (1) of 94695
 
Hi Bill; Are you still TAing indexes ? I know it don't work on
indexes worth a flip. ( exception would be if it is confirmed
by other indicators ) but as a stand alone it's garbage.
It's to easy to fit past data to patterns and come up with
what will look like it works. The index itself can lie about
the money flow..large volume inside of it may go to the losers
or winners, while the price moves can go the other way on small
volume thus skewing the index oppoisite the money flow, it's in the
nature of an Index that makes the TA on it unreliable, at least as
a leading indicator. I can make up a dart board that one can
toss darts at for market calls, 10 white squares for every 9
black ones, with white indicating up, and you will average
about 50% right just tossing the darts. Toss a whole handfull
every day and average them and predict the percetage move each
day. ( LOL ) <g>
Jim

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