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Technology Stocks : AMD, ARMH, INTC, NVDA
AMD 257.13+8.2%10:07 AM EST
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To: Vattila who wrote (35059)1/26/2021 5:06:42 PM
From: VattilaRead Replies (2) of 72278
 
AMD 2020 EPS Contest Scores

Here is the summary of our predictive powers on this board. We beat Zacks!

2020 Full year scores







Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score
1 Vattila 4 0.95 0.85 0.65 0.8169
2 neolib 4 0.98 0.80 0.61 0.7972
- Zacks Estimate 4 0.94 0.79 0.62 0.7856
3 Pravin Kamdar 3 0.72 0.62 0.50 0.6128
4 rzborusa 3 0.69 0.57 0.47 0.5812
5 Kelvin C.P. Wang 1 0.24 0.23 0.17 0.2150
6 jc474 1 0.23 0.19 0.19 0.2020







2020 Quarterly average







Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score
1 Kelvin C.P. Wang 1 0.96 0.92 0.69 0.8601
2 Pravin Kamdar 3 0.96 0.83 0.66 0.8171
3 Vattila 4 0.95 0.85 0.65 0.8169
4 jc474 1 0.92 0.74 0.76 0.8080
5 neolib 4 0.98 0.80 0.61 0.7972
- Zacks Estimate 4 0.94 0.79 0.62 0.7856
6 rzborusa 3 0.93 0.76 0.63 0.7749


Note that, scores are calculated as (1+error)^-2 per quarter and normalized for the year by sum(scores)/4. The squaring of the denominator in the score calculation is just done to spread out the scores a little. There is no explicit relative weighting of EPS and revenue error, i.e. a 1 cent error in EPS equals a $10M error in revenue. This is unlike the quarterly EPS contest, where EPS has the highest significance for ranking purposes, followed by revenue and outlook, respectively.

PS. Follow reply link to message #35066 for 2019 full year scores.
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