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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing
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To: Elroy who wrote (66571)2/19/2021 11:45:12 AM
From: bruwin2 Recommendations

Recommended By
E_K_S
Lance Bredvold

  Read Replies (3) of 78819
 
The reference to a payout of a $7/share Dividend got me thinking as to what that would mean in terms of what UAN would possibly have to earn in Total Revenue.

Assume a Dividend payout of 30% of Gross Income.
Number of shares = 11.28 million
Dividend payout for company = 11.28 x $7 = $79 million.
Therefore Gross Income = 79/0.3 = ~$260 million.

If we take UAN's latest TTM Inc. Statement and ignore "Deprec.& Amort." as well as "Impairment", and assume that UAN pays at least 20% Tax, the best "Net Income" number would be about +$9 million .......






If we now take the Gross Income of $260 million and work backwards keeping (A), (B), (C) and (D) as before and take UAN's "Gross Profit" as being about 28% of its "Total Revenue" as it showed in the past .......



...... it seems that UAN would have to attain a Total Revenue of about $1464 Million, which is between about 4 to 5 times greater than what it's managing at the present time.

I wonder how it will turn out .......
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