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Strategies & Market Trends : SPY Advance - Decline data for 2014 through 2016
SPY 680.44+0.6%Dec 19 4:00 PM EST

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To: rimshot who wrote (433)5/1/2021 12:21:34 PM
From: rimshot  Read Replies (1) of 1118
 
$SPX daily with 63,2 Bollinger Band and
with Carl Swenlin's ITBM ( net A-D Breadth Momentum ) and ITVM ( net A-D Volume Momentum )
and with Carl's Price Momentum Oscillator -

stockcharts.com

S&P 500 index ITVM ( Volume Momentum ) by Carl Swenlin moving sideways all
of April 2021 is an important red flag that calls attention to this high-priority vigilance
item going forward .. the ITVM is eventually going to choose a direction

* ITBM is customarily maximum over bought in the plus 200 to 233 region, over the decades

$SPX daily displaying 3.5 years history for PMO, ITBM and ITVM -

stockcharts.com

ITBM explained -

school.stockcharts.com

ITVM explained -

school.stockcharts.com

=============================

The following is a quote from a 2004 Ned Davis Research study:

"Nearly all cyclical market peaks have negative breadth divergences, which means
that when the stock market prices hit new cyclical highs,
the Advance/Decline Line, new highs, and/or volume had peaked earlier.
The trick is to know when the divergences are meaningfully bearish.
Most technicians say they are meaningful after some 3-6 months, but the lead time
was a year in 1928-1929, and two years in 1998-2000;
therefore, I find an arbitrary time limit unsatisfying."

They studied the NYSE AD Line relative to it's 32 week MA from 1965-2004 and concluded that:

** when the AD Line is above 104% of it's 32WMA, the NYSE Composite has gained at an annual rate of 19.9% on average

** when the NYSE AD Line is below 97% of its 32WMA, the NYSE composite declined at an annual rate of -14.8% on average

============================

among others, the $NYUD and $NAUD cumulative versions merit close examination as the weeks progress -

technicalwatch.com

Dave Breslaw updates this chart set every weekend, in most cases
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