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Technology Stocks : NANO
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To: tom pope who wrote (1540)2/3/1998 8:48:00 PM
From: Wade  Read Replies (1) of 2272
 
Tom,

I think Doug explained it very well. This is the tough time to get excited for just plain talking. Here is my promised report of AAII database study:

The calculation was based on the data available at 12/31/97. Here are the
calculations:

A. Latest annul earning 0.62/share
B. I/B/E/S 0.65/share
C. 5 year growth rate, % 58
D. Trend: 0.62/share x 1.58 = 0.98/share
E. Current P/E 13.2
F. 5 year average P/E 16.8

The projected future price:

Valuation : E x D = 13.2 x 0.98 = 12.94/share
Average Valuation: F x D = 16.8 x 0.98 = 16.46/share
PE Valuation : 13.2 x 0.65 = 8.58/share
Average PE Valuation : 16.8 x 0.65 = 10.92/share

It is interesting to know that NANO is still trading below its 5 year average PE valuation, 10.92. The PE of other hot stocks such as AMAT and KLAC are about 25 at this moment. NANO should be traded at 10.33 even if the PE is 1/3 lower than these big boys. There is still plenty room for NANO stock to grow. I wish us the best luck.

Sincerely,
Wade
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