Roger's 1998 Short Picks Message Board

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Strategies & Market Trends : Roger's 1998 Short Picks

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To: Roger A. Babb who wrote (2209)	2/3/1998 10:24:00 PM
From: Broken_Clock	Read Replies (2) of 18691

Roger, Perhaps you could elaborate.on the historical relationship between current PE(1998) and expected earnings growth rate for 1999.That is, if a company has a PE of, say 15 and is expected to have locked in growth rate of 30%+ in 1999 then what would a "normal" historical stock yearly appreciation rate for EOY 1998 be?Also, what were PEs in the years following the 1929-32 crash? Here's a possible short.Rated 7 "strong buys" and #1 in it's sector on Yahoo research.But look at this chart! CKR iqc.com Almost a shooting star, followed by a hammer and finished off with a tweezers top on a 4th try at 45ish.Does it get any uglier? dave

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