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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts

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ajtj99
Lou Weed
tntpal
towerdog
To: rimshot who wrote (29714)7/8/2021 7:49:58 AM
From: rimshot4 Recommendations   of 97558
 
warned you on July 4th what I was expecting, and here is a follow-up showing three charts
that explain the basis of my warning -

odds are at least 70% & as much as 100% that $SPX 4270 horizontal level
will not hold
when tested from above, and that price will drop like an anvil
once $SPX 4270 level actually fails to hold for multiple days' closes

** future bounces toward $SPX 4330 to 4338 zone, if any, are likely selling opportunities

daily chart #1 - chart technicals for the NYSE common stocks only data set indicate a
significant degree of negatively divergent lower bounce highs by the chart technicals
over multiple days
vs.
the July 2nd through July 7th printing of new all-time-record price highs for $SPX and $OEX, & others

** bears want to see even deeper levels of red in future days by the
NYSE common-stocks-only daily count of net Advancers minus Decliners

stockcharts.com

fyi - the most recent $SPX 2.2% decline in June was accompanied by back-to-back double tap of the
$SPXEW daily 21,3 lower Bollinger Band with literally zero hours below the LBB

========================================

$SPX bulls need this S&P 500 metric to improve instead of continue to decline:

chart #2 - daily plot of the percentage of the 500 stocks within $SPX
for which their individual 20-day EMA's reside above their individual
50-day EMA's -

* the chart has been revised to include set of Cyan-colored horizontal lines
marking each successive recent low

stockcharts.com

chart #3 - $SPX weekly chart also showing the weekly closes
for the condition of the Silver Cross metric, which represents
the plot of the Percentage of index components for which
the 20-day EMA resides above the 50-day EMA


stockcharts.com

* normally, the daily chart is reviewed for the condition
of the Silver Cross ... the weekly closes view shown
above facilitates vigilance for the week to week trend
vs. the 5-week SMA for the Silver Cross conditions
for:

$SPX $OEX $NDX $MID $SML

========================================
sequence of recent /ES new all-time record price highs
in descending order:

4353.25
4347.00
4312.00
4306.75
4291.00
4282.00
4276.75
4266.25
4263.75
4260.50
4258.25
4248.25
4245.00
4226.25
4219.75
4219.00
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