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Technology Stocks : AMD, ARMH, INTC, NVDA

AMD 243.98 +4.5% 3:59 PM EST

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To: Joe NYC who wrote (41874) 7/17/2021 10:08:53 AM From: Vattila Read Replies (2) of 72227   AMD 2021-Q2 EPS Contest (non-GAAP) User EPS Revenue Q3 Outlook Joe NYC $0.61 $3.86B $4.25B Pravin Kamdar $0.62 $3.72B $3.92B Vattila $0.60 $3.70B $3.90B Zacks Estimate $0.54 $3.62B $3.78B Updated with Joe's entry. That is one stellar outlook! Which implies Lisa Su will up guidance substantially for the 5th quarter in a row, I think. Let's hope so! Also updated Zacks Estimate (revenue and outlook slightly up from $3.61B and $3.77B, respectively), as well as consensus and whisper numbers below (up from $0.48/(N/A)). Post your numbers to participate! Note that you can revise your numbers until the earnings release, so don't be afraid to enter early. Background Information AMD's Q2 outlook: $3.60B ± 0.10B revenue Analyst consensus/whisper: $0.54/0.57 EPS --- Previous Quarters 2021 AMD 2021-Q1 EPS Contest (non-GAAP) — Results Actual numbers: $0.52 EPS on $3.45B revenue Q2 outlook: $3.60B ± 0.10B revenue Rank User EPS Revenue Q2 Outlook 1 rzborusa $0.52 $3.33B $3.43B 2 gvatty $0.51 $3.35B $3.50B 3 Joe NYC $0.54 $3.35B $3.45B 4 Vattila $0.50 $3.30B $3.40B 5 engineer $0.50 $3.28B $3.51B 6 Kelvin C.P. Wang $0.55 $3.40B $3.60B 7 neolib $0.56 $3.40B $3.47B 8 Pravin Kamdar $0.48 $3.25B $3.55B - Zacks Estimate $0.44 $3.21B $3.28B --- Leaderboards for Previous Years Note that, unlike the main EPS Contest, which is primarily ranked by EPS, these boards are ranked by overall score, which is an equally weighted average of subscores. Scores are calculated as (1+error)^-2 per quarter and normalized for the year by sum(scores)/4. The squaring of the denominator in the score calculation is just done to spread out the scores a little. There is no explicit relative weighting of EPS and revenue error, i.e. a 1 cent error in EPS equals a $10M error in revenue. AMD 2020 EPS Contest Scores 2020 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Vattila 4 0.95 0.85 0.65 0.8169 2 neolib 4 0.98 0.80 0.61 0.7972 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.94 0.79 0.62 0.7856 3 Pravin Kamdar 3 0.72 0.62 0.50 0.6128 4 rzborusa 3 0.69 0.57 0.47 0.5812 5 Kelvin C.P. Wang 1 0.24 0.23 0.17 0.2150 6 jc474 1 0.23 0.19 0.19 0.2020 2020 Quarterly average Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Kelvin C.P. Wang 1 0.96 0.92 0.69 0.8601 2 Pravin Kamdar 3 0.96 0.83 0.66 0.8171 3 Vattila 4 0.95 0.85 0.65 0.8169 4 jc474 1 0.92 0.74 0.76 0.8080 5 neolib 4 0.98 0.80 0.61 0.7972 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.94 0.79 0.62 0.7856 6 rzborusa 3 0.93 0.76 0.63 0.7749 AMD 2019 EPS Contest Scores 2019 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score - Zacks Estimate 4 0.99 0.97 0.96 0.9708 1 Vattila 4 0.98 0.96 0.84 0.9264 2 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.98 0.95 0.84 0.9258 3 rzborusa 3 0.73 0.70 0.70 0.7106 4 neolib 3 0.73 0.72 0.65 0.6977 5 knykny 2 0.49 0.46 0.40 0.4496 6 gzubeck 2 0.46 0.37 0.32 0.3822 7 THE WATSONYOUTH 1 0.25 0.24 0.25 0.2468 8 FUBHO 1 0.21 0.20 0.25 0.2199 9 Harvey Allen 1 0.20 0.17 0.25 0.2058 2019 Quarterly average Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 THE WATSONYOUTH 1 1.00 0.96 1.00 0.9871 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.99 0.97 0.96 0.9708 2 rzborusa 3 0.97 0.93 0.94 0.9475 3 neolib 3 0.97 0.96 0.87 0.9303 4 Vattila 4 0.98 0.96 0.84 0.9264 5 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.98 0.95 0.84 0.9258 6 knykny 2 0.97 0.93 0.80 0.8991 7 FUBHO 1 0.84 0.80 1.00 0.8796 8 Harvey Allen 1 0.80 0.67 1.00 0.8230 9 gzubeck 2 0.92 0.73 0.64 0.7643

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