just looked at the Swedish numbers for reference since some folks are holding up that nation as the correct model for countering CoVid
Population 10M
Total cases 1.1M (11% of total population)
Death 14,000 (0.14% of total population)
Take the UK as an example ...current numbers
Population 67M
Total cases 6M (9% of total population)
Death 130,000 (0.19%)
Should UK adopt the Swedish model, and without adjusting for life style, co-morbidity, and population density, then ...
Population 67M
Total cases 7.4M
Death 93,800
Thus, I suppose, explains why UK decided for the burn-through approach.
Question: is the UK doing the right approach?
Answer: time shall tell.
Some relevant news flow
news-medical.net
Research led by Asa Bjorndal from the Public Health Agency of Sweden investigated people’s antibody response after mild symptoms. The findings showed Immunoglobulin G (IgG) antibodies that target the spike protein remained stable after 8 months. But antibodies targeting SARS-CoV-2’s nucleocapsid protein waned over time.
news-medical.net
Researchers in Sweden have challenged the interpretation that variable non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) and “herd immunity” protection are responsible for the rise and fall of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic waves in hard-hit locations where authorities have not enforced strict NPIs. Instead, they say that the herd immunity threshold appears to be much lower than previously thought. However, the team’s study also indicates that these thresholds are unstable and cannot be considered indicative of protection against emerging variants of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) – the agent that causes COVID-19.
Sweden, arguably, did well against CoVid relative to almost all other nations in 2020, whether by total cases, death, or GDP. |
