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Biotech / Medical : ArQule
ARQL 20.000.0%Jan 16 4:00 PM EST

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To: ahhaha who wrote (169)2/5/1998 1:59:00 AM
From: ahhaha  Read Replies (1) of 399
 
I might have been right in the first place, the science is looking more and more poor:

Let's look at evaluation. Say the company can hold an 80x. Say an expectation of $.10 by 4Q '99 = $8/shr. (about 1/2 of 15). Currently the company is evaluated at 240x on these parameters. Not unusual for a biotech, but is this a biotech or service company? If it's a service company we would be justified in giving it 30x given its royalty angle and fast Wheel. To warrant current price level, it's got to earn $.80! Anyone think I'm all wet? Well, it's not a service company. Really? The company doesn't adjudicate on efficacy of the chemicals it finds, they just take leads and polish them. If they work, the company gets a kickback. Someone else takes the risk. It's all part of the business plan, n'est-ce pas? Service company. Oui,oui.

Now who was ridiculing me for Ponzi Pies in the sky? Not even with diamonds. You could make some money on the street with that at least.
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