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Strategies & Market Trends : The Millennium Crash
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To: yard_man who wrote (2181)2/6/1998 10:44:00 AM
From: Mike M2  Read Replies (2) of 5676
 
Barry, the market capitalization to GDP is similar to price sales ratio for a company only mkt cap/GDP covers publicly held companies in the aggregate. While it does not serve as a timing tool it does wave a caution flag especially when the previous U.S. peak was about 80%. When comparing countries mature economies (which grow at a slower rate) should not be compared to ( emerging economies which can grow at a faster rate-especially when starting from a small base). Another factor helping emerging markets attain such high mkt cap/gdp ratios is they are small relative to all the dollars sloshing around the world in search of a quick buck so it is easy to run these mkts up. Mike
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