| | | Don't take your eyes out of the money.
The moment you take your eyes off the money to look at Omicron, the other guy runs away with the money
Let the other guy be the one taking Omicron serious.
This is not March-April 2020. Then, the whole world pulled back only to wake up in 2021 paying the price of taking the Covid story wholesale.
JPMorgan says buy the dip as omicron may end pandemic
Joanna Ossinger
Dec 3, 2021 – 7.46am
Singapore | The recent market turmoil caused by the emergence of the omicron virus strain may offer investors a chance to position for a trend reversal in reopening and commodity trades, according to JPMorgan.
While it is likely that omicron is more transmissible, early reports suggest it may also be less deadly, which would fit into the pattern of virus evolution observed historically, strategists Marko Kolanovic and Bram Kaplan wrote in a note on Wednesday, US time. This might ultimately be a positive for risk markets because it could signal that the end of the pandemic is in sight, they said.
“Omicron could be a catalyst for steepening (not flattening) the yield curve, rotation from growth to value, selloff in COVID and lockdown beneficiaries and rally in reopening themes,” the strategists said. “We view the recent selloff in these segments as an opportunity to buy the dip in cyclicals, commodities and reopening themes, and to position for higher bond yields and steepening.”
The emergence of the new virus strain has roiled markets in recent days, with countries around the world stepping up travel restrictions. While some health officials said it could take weeks to reach a verdict, Australia’s chief medical officer, Paul Kelly, said there was no indication that it is more deadly than other strains.
Mr Kolanovic, who became JPMorgan’s chief global markets strategist this year, has advocated reopening trades and defended value stocks as the pandemic has evolved. He has also argued that markets overreacted to the threat of the delta variant.
It would fit with historical patterns for a less severe and more transmissible virus to quickly crowd out more severe variants, which could turn omicron into a catalyst to transform a deadly pandemic into something more akin to seasonal flu, the JPMorgan strategists wrote in the Wednesday note.
“If that scenario were to happen, instead of skipping two letters and naming it omicron, the WHO could have skipped all the way to omega,” the strategists said. Omega is the last letter of the Greek alphabet.
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