Tsk tsk GG, 'Hey, look over there, it's an elephant', doesn't mean that there isn't a wolf over here. As you can imagine, looking where the wolf is, not where it isn't, is the way to determine whether there's a wolf or not. One should of course be mindful of 'The Little Boy Who Cried Wolf' as one doesn't wish to be chasing imaginary wolves day after day. So you are right to consider my decades of predictive and other commentary to get a bit of an idea of my perspicacity, capacity and veracity.
So let's check the elephants in the room since you brought them up.
It's amusing that you picked a negligibly minuscule fraction of my prognostications over decades.
Starting with my invention of Fourier transforms to create mobile Cyberspace way back in 1989 [which it turned out the great and wonderful inventor Dr Irwin Jacobs had also invented by also had the wherewithal to make it happen], and invention of Hyperloop [years before Elon copy/pasted my system exactly], the invention of CO2 sequestration from power stations back in 1986 [given to and patented by Mitsubishi], the electric car in 1986 when Elon was still a boy as a solution to CO2 and air polution in general and a thousand wearing, inefficient, industrial revolution whirlygigs in petrol and diesel engines, not to mention a carbon tax and compensating tax reductions [in 1984 which my BP Oil boss told me to be quiet about], and the correct Globalstar deployment and pricing and expansion [which Elon is now adopting though we'll see if he is too dumb to get pricing correct which seems likely given his Tesla tendencies], and shutting down the Qualcomm linear motor Halo idea and expenses to electrify roads which is never going to happen, Anita [tm] Cyberspace devices which are now getting seriously developed though they have a way to go, intelligence DNA genetic engineering, .... and on and on... of course don't forget Crypto money which long preceded bitcoin [and PayPal which I funded via Qualcomm and hoped would become the dinkum oil which it did not ]and silly Qualcomm failed to turn Eudora into the portal to, and unit of value, for Cyberspace that it should have been.
Because nobody has yet commercialized Halo for parked cars doesn't mean it's a bad idea. There's a chicken and egg issue for its development. There are still crazies wanting to put charging into roads for cars to drive along being charged.
Similarly for 7 Second Swap Stop Stations for electric cars. Fools and children shouldn't see a job half done. Electric cars are only just getting going. Battery swaps are being done by Nio. Motor scooters. Bicycles.
You apparently don't know the difference between weather and climate. It's a common mistake. Since my 2007 prediction with 2020 foresight, many actual geophysics expert prognosticators have concluded that cooling is on the cards, maybe to Maunder Minimum extent and of course it could be to full reglaciation. My assertion back then was just the Maunder Minimum observation rather than the full scale reglaciation end of the holocene which is due some time soon [in the 1000 year scale]. Your observation of rain at your house is not an actual global climate determination, I guess you know. Just as The Beast From the East and other inclement wintry weather over the last couple of years did not confirm the little ice age return.
I am quite proud of my Tesla shorts in one way = both times, Elon traded at a worse price than I got. As they say, the markets can stay irrational longer than I can stay solvent. The final disaster was my margin call coming 24 hours before Elon sold a megaton of TSLA causing the price to drop 20%. I decided to not back my short so covered most of it at nearly the worst time, keeping just quarter of my big short. It did amuse me that yet again, Elon agreed with me that TSLA was at a peak. The difference this time was that I was unwilling to put more money where my mouth was. Wish I had now as the peak is probably in.
You are very new to investing and speculating if you think that a couple of big failures over 50 years is a bad track record [Globalstar in Y2K and TSLA in 2020 were my biggies]. My first short of TSLA was a great success though not enough to cover the subsequent loss. I have had a few other losses - a dairy factory/nutrition business here which went bung, investment in WiFi [RoamAD] which failed, Z Energy here which was going to be my 7SSSS start, that's all, in 50 years.
Note to self = the few times I have lost it has been by breaking my decades of conservative investment rules and trying speculative things or being overly keen on what I was trying to achieve [Z Energy, dairy factory, RoamAD] ignoring obvious defects in the investments. That's how con men get victims - wanting too hard to believe rather than treating the investment like a well built engineering project.
You're welcome and thank you for trying to participate. But never mind the herd of elephants. What did you think of the wolf? Oh, that's right = you wrote nothing....
Thanks for inviting me to boast about just a few of my glorious successes over decades, and reminding me to check my premises and prognostications to test expecations compared with outcomes. Reality is a brutal task master. Horribly brutal.
People say we learn from our mistakes. I disagree. We learn from our successes how to succeed. Our failures are just warnings.
Mqurice |
