JM
<<Wonder what the margins are on the Shuttlelock 770?>>
Great question and I don't know. Below are some speculations about it though.
Regards, John
Warning:What follows is NOT accurate but may be directionally correct.
------------------------ Part A - ------------------------ State COGS as Reported ------------------------ ------ ------ ------ 97 96 95 ------ ------ ------ Gross Sales 44,440 37,860 29,610 ====== ====== ====== ------------------------ Unadjusted: ------------------------ COGS 25,690 23,480 20,240 ====== ====== ====== COGS - % 57.81 62.02 68.36 ====== ====== ======
------------------------ Part B - ------------------------ Backout certain Charges that were booked to COGS ------------------------ Warranty Provision 430 660 1,200
Obsol-ClusterLock 670 0 0 Obsol-Other 530 390 340 ------ ------ ------ Total Obsolescence 1,200 390 340 ------ ------ ------ Total War & Obsol 1,630 1,050 1,540 ====== ====== ======
------------------------ Part C - ------------------------ Restate COGS less Adj. ------------------------ COGS 24,060 22,430 18,700 ====== ====== ====== COGS - % 54.14 59.24 63.15 ====== ====== ======
------------------------ Part D - ------------------------ Speculate, based on Sales Mix % - Product COGS ------------------------ ------ ------ ------ 97 96 95 ------ ------ ------ Gross Sales 44,440 37,860 29,610 ====== ====== ====== ------------------------ Sales Mix % Note:.46 MEANS 46% ------------------------ Versalock(R) 700 Series 0.46 0.43 0.09 Shuttlelock(R) ICP Series 0.16 0.06 0.00 Other 0.37 0.51 0.91 ------ ------ ------ Total Sales Mix - % 1.00 1.00 1.00 ------ ------ ------ ------------------------ Speculative COGS % JM - this is what you were curious about ------------------------ Versalock(R) 700 Series 0.51 0.54 0.54 Shuttlelock(R) ICP Series 0.50 0.50 0.50 Other 0.60 0.65 0.64
------------------------ Resultant COGS - $ 1- Sales Mix % * Gross Sales 2- Results * COGS % ------------------------ Versalock(R) 700 Series 10,475 8,753 1,382 Shuttlelock(R) ICP Series 3,620 1,195 0 Other 9,996 12,519 17,312 ------ ------ ------ Projected COGS - $ 24,091 22,467 18,694 ====== ====== ====== Actual COGS - 24,060 22,430 18,700 ====== ====== ======
There are many combination of COGS % that you can use.
However, I tried to lock into 1995 first. After that, you cannot stray to far from those %'s and still be reasonable.
The most important question is:How high was the COGS % for OTHER in 1995. I am guessing 64%.
End of Analysis ........................................
----------------- FYI:Gross Sales $ ----------------- ------ ------ ------ 97 96 95 ------ ------ ------ Versalock(R) 700 Series 20,540 16,210 2,560 Shuttlelock(R) ICP Series 7,240 2,390 0 Other 16,660 19,260 27,050 ------ ------ ------ Gross Sales 44,440 37,860 29,610 ====== ====== ======
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