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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts
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To: Sun Tzu who wrote (53003)2/28/2022 10:26:06 AM
From: Lee Lichterman III2 Recommendations

Recommended By
catou1
edward miller

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I read a good article that basically said that Putin is going to win this even if it inflicts economic pain short/medium term.
All he really wants is for NATO to stop expanding towards his borders, especially using ex-Soviet bloc countries.
Anything above that is just added cream. If he wins militarily, even better but even if not, cease fire talks will likely give in to agreeing not to add any border countries to NATO and no military bases, missile sites etc.
Economic sanctions are going to hurt some and slow transactions but I'm sure they will still be able to bypass them via their allies (China, Syria etc), use crypto and shell companies.
Eastern Ukraine is the rich portion of the country. It's the equivalent of our farm belt and has minerals. If he can keep that, he's going to be one happy camper.
My biggest fear is China pushing the Taiwan issue at the same time all this is going on. If it evolves to a shooting war, I question if we can fight effectively on 2 far spaced fronts. We've cut our bomber numbers a lot, Navy is vulnerable and obsolete. Fighters don't have the range. It's low odds it will happen but it would be a big deal if it did.
Economically, we are in terrible shape to try and get by without China, especially without Taiwan. We don't make anything important here anymore. The transition to a "service economy" was the most moronic move in history. We are now dependent on our potential enemies. Checkmate.
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