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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 374.22-0.2%Nov 21 4:00 PM EST

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To: TobagoJack who wrote (185001)3/8/2022 2:22:25 PM
From: sense1 Recommendation

Recommended By
fred woodall

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Would note in follow up to "exponential"...

The usual in expectation in the market that trading occurs in a range... is usually valid...

What we're seeing here, today... SBSW probably an extreme as case in point... is "some" failing to understand that the range is now being violated... not as a function of excess in some few investors enthusiasm... but because prior reality tied to prior expectations... has already been obviated... and some few aren't getting it...

In microcosm... you see that in the "breakout" in gold... leaving many questioning whether it could or would survive the rarefied atmosphere near its all time highs... just over $2,000... ? And, of course, with silver 50% below comparable value as other commodities... openly wondering whether it might ever breakout like gold, and survive "higher" in a sustained trend ? Of course, look at it adjusted for the rate of growth in M2 ? Gold usually TRACKS the M2... like its on a rail... and has not, recently, only as a function of the Basel III driven counter trade ongoing since 2011... the "small" cup and handle pattern... correcting for errors in balances enabled in relation to the crooked trading occurring in the larger cup and handle pattern crafted since 1980... Banks took 10 years to get back on "the right side" of the trade... as necessary to avoid being declared insolvent due to... what you see happening in nickel today. And, now... the prior 10 years pattern in displacement from the M2 trend is... obviated... with M2 flow higher in an exponential... while gold and silver have been counter-flowing lower... against the tide... since around 2016... rising LESS than the actual dynamic underpinning them requires... And, just as parity was attained in the Basel III trade ending... Biden happened... and M2 is going exponential... on track to... get Brandoned...

And, the banks... are not being put at risk that trend...are on the right side of that trade (so, perhaps, enablng it now ?) or at least... are not held at risk now because of their gold related trades...

Trading using the set expectations of a prior era... missing the fact a page has been turned... and reality today is not the same as reality was... just a few months ago ? Can't look at the world today and notice "something seems different" ?

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