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Strategies & Market Trends : The Aristocrats (tm)

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Nov 14 9:30 AM EST

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From: sense	3/15/2022 12:51:20 PM
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Two hour annotated chart check... Using SPY and UVXY... Both are forming triangles of sorts... with the UVXY "fast" by about a day... saying resolution prior to a "point" in 11 periods... or, each chart day being 5 periods, 2 days from now... while the SPY says 18 periods... or just over 3 days to reach point... Put in context of prior musings... with "slow motion" applied to the market implosion ongoing... making the "trade" into one in which real potential for "change" in the trade occurs in only one day out of five... it says... change occurring "soon".... on or before Friday... with knowns in the trade being: tomorrow to be dominated by the first performance of a "triple policy error, with a full twist, and multiple back flips"... and Friday being a MASSIVE options expiry... featuring huge disparities between "where we are now" and where the mass in the options say "parity" might lie... I might expect... a rally of sorts... on the bad news of the command performance of The Aristocrats slated tomorrow... because... team sports... having nothing to do with reality... Thursday... this suggests... might see volatility premiums spike in anticipation of Friday events... And, Friday... pattern failures... or proofs... Only, noting, this "as charts" is all still "internal market noise" disconnected from reality... and we live in an era in which reality might find ways to interrupt... the pre-planned accomodation. About which... views of other charts are required to parse other things than patterns in market noise... So, additional work required on resolution in comparison charts... as sequenced in "oil spikes, VIX spikes, stocks fall, KOLD soars"... we have seen oil "spike" only back to pre-2020 level... VIX or UVXY proxy is not spiked yet... but very atypically "persistently elevated" as distributed on a rising tide versus concentrated as "a jet" in a geyser or blow hole... stocks have not yet fallen in contextually relevant fashion... and proof in the fact of pricing in of "demand destruction" doesn't follow until the demand has actually been destroyed... UVXY: SPY: ..

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