| | | Hard to see what the strategy is. They may win some battles, but Ukraine has no chance at a war victory against Russia. He should cut a deal before more are killed. The strategy is to give Russia another Afghanistan - which would lead to “regime change” in Russia. The Russians are sensitive to losing men - and they also seem to be sensitive to civilian fatalities (contrary to propaganda). Ukraine is getting a great amount of advanced weaponry. So, there is a good possibility that Russia may get stuck in Ukraine - in a war they can’t win easily - but can’t lose, either. Of course, it depends on how one defines victory - imo, they define it as formulated in their negotiation demands.
The two possibilities I can see are 1) escalation - as much and as far as it takes.
And 2 — call the opposition's bluff. Sharply increase their production of smart weapons - and use them, steadily, against strategic targets - as they have been doing recently - against military bases, weapons depots, airfields, and so on. For as long as they can minimize their losses, they could go on for as long as it takes - expecting Ukraine and the West to say uncle first.
I hope they take the second path. The first one could be a fast track towards a global nuclear war. |
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