| | | I hope Russia comes to their senses, accepts the terms of no NATO membership and turns tail back across the border. I would be happy to see this. But unless whatever settlement they agree on is implemented by all sides, the war will likely resume. We’ve seen it with the Minsk agreement - which was absolutely ignored by Ukraine and the West. Since then, 16,000 people in Eastern Ukraine were killed fighting for the autonomy which was granted to them in Minsk. Unless extremists like Azov are subdued, the peace will not last.
It’s a proxy war, in a sense that Vietnam and Afghanistan 1 in 1980’s were. The difference is - this time it’s in Europe - and Russia is not only directly involved, but is convinced that their own survival is at stake.
You will not agree with the above - but even if you’re right, it doesn’t matter. The fact is - that’s what it IS to them.
I think Gen Milley is wrong - this war will not last for years. The Bucha events (I’m not going into who done it) and the torture / murders of POW’s show that the levels of anger and brutality are going up very sharply. Also, Ukraine's economy was a disaster even before the war. Now, it is much worse - and not about to get better. Weapons manufacturers may be very happy - but Europeans will have problems accepting refugees by the time their numbers reach double digits of millions. Most of them are not going back, btw.
So, the war WILL end - and the best you and I can hope for - before it becomes global. |
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