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Strategies & Market Trends : Set the Controls For The Heart of the SUN
IQ 2.220+0.7%Nov 25 3:59 PM EST

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To: username who wrote (619)2/9/1998 1:17:00 PM
From: Dave H  Read Replies (2) of 1156
 
Pete,
I don't have time to give a full sequential analysis (ie examine the historical success rates of past sequentials) but here's the most pertinent data:

I've got COMS in the midst of a BUY sequential -- day #11 was Feb 6, 1998. (first setup day was 12/11/97) COMS has a good chance of completing this sequential.
So far, the lowest low during the sequential was on jan 12 which had a low of 28.38. The high on that day was 30.25, so the most agressive TD stoploss would be 28.38 - (30.25 - 28.38) = 26.51 [on a closing basis, if possible].
Additionally, countdown day #8 of this sequential closed at 31 (on 1/23/98); DeMark says it is often good to wait for the last day of the countdown to close below day #8 to lessen the risk.

AOL's not in a sequential right now, but it recently completed a SELL sequential on January 2, 1998 when it closed at 89.63. Seeing as this definitely was a "failed" sequential, AOL doesn't look like a safe short right now.

Let me know if you would like a historical dump of any or all the sequentials these two have produced over the years...

-dave
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