Re <<Taiwan>>
Believe Armstrong is wildly optimistic / pessimistic (depending on PoV) w/r to China Taiwan as opposed to China / Taiwan
2023 too early
2028 about right
2032 almost for sure
only issue is whether the HK approach or the Ukraine protocol
Am agnostic, especially on the whereof and whatnots, just saying what probably shall be
I see I am a few reads behind and shall correct the situation after placing orders
ask-socrates.com
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While the press is jumping on the dollar and that central banks are starting to reduce their dollar exposure in their reserves, what they are NOT reporting is that several central banks have seen the handwriting on the wall. Yes, they are reducing the dollar in their portfolio generally by 5% adding the Australian, Canadian, Japanese, yen, and the British pound, the drastic cut has NOT been to the dollar, but on average a 33% cut in the Euro reserves. Some, like Israel, are also adding the Chinese yuan, but this amounts to about 2% so far.
This proxy war with Russia has destroyed the world economy with sanctions and removed Russia from SWIFT. This has sent a warning to the entire world that the SWIFT system is no longer trustworthy and it has become simply a political tool. This has provided the incentive for China's alternative system thereby dividing the world economy and bringing to end globalization.
We have recreated the Euro, based on the formula from 1998 to provide a full picture of what the Euro looks like since World War II. The rally into 2008 merely retested the high of the 1950s, We still see the Euro falling to test 81 cents by 2025. Right now, the technical support here in 2022 lies at 10712, and a break of that level is the technical warning that our long-term outlook will be correct. This is obviously intermixed with the Ukrainian crisis of war, but it is also the GREEN policies that are being pushed ahead that will destroy the European Union and result in civil unrest and separation.
In reality, Le Pen should win here in April which will be a serious blow to the EU, the polls show currently that Macron has a 57.5% lead over Le Pen’s 42.5%. Yet make no mistake about it, the EU intervened in the Scottish elections with EU people counting the votes and they did the same in Italy. Do not be surprised if they rig the election in France to ensure that Macron survives. They have already been raising allegations that Le Pen embezzled 650,000 euros 18 years ago desperately trying to impact the election.
If the EU rigs the French election, this is going to result in serious civil unrest in France. Macron wants an EU Army and will take Europe into war with Russia. We can see that the turning point in the Euro will be lined up with the French election on the Empirical Model. War appears to be heating up in August with a Directional Change in September. This is also the target period for the EU to impose its proposed embargo on Russian energy.
The obvious strategy to take down the West would be for Russia to cut off all energy to Europe and invade the NATO countries. The people behind Putin are the real warmongers and they have been pushing for the use of nuclear weapons in Ukraine to scare the hell out of Europe. But Putin has been the one who was trying to modernize Russia and wanted it to be fully integrated into the world economy. Hence, the sanctions were braindead for they lent more support to the hardliners than Putin.
China would logically then take Taiwan and the US would be incapable of fighting on two fronts. The potential for anything on a geopolitical level in Taiwan is also showing up in the September/October period. Nevertheless, our war cycle is really targeting 2023 for the start. Hence, these targets here in the late summer of 2022 may see the initiation of conflict that is then escalated in 2023.
Therefore, while many governments indeed follow our model, we cannot confirm or deny that they have been making the shifts in their reserve portfolios based upon Socrates. We published our report back in 2018 where we projected that China would become the new Financial Capital of the World. Making such a forecast put out by our computer is one thing. Living through them is something totally different. Never in my wildest imagination did I ever think that someone like Biden would be tearing up world peace and the global economy on a deliberate basis. That shift in power from the US to China becomes far more obvious today than it was when that report was published back in 2018. |
