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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 398.26+0.5%Jan 2 4:00 PM EST

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To: sense who wrote (187141)4/29/2022 6:36:07 AM
From: maceng2  Read Replies (2) of 218959
 
May is coming up. Looks to me the Russians are on schedule for whatever they have planned.

My suggestion is not overly interfere with that schedule. Allow Russian "victory" in whatever form that takes, and most importantly bite lip, until it bleeds if necessary, and play ball with Russians. Let them do their win bit. Sure complain and lament at shocking unfairness of the universe, which is real, and so forth.

Then what happens? The inevitable. The Ukraine ultra-nationalists will copycat earlier Russian paramilitaries and guerrilla war ensues. The chances of changing those guys attitude, as is, is zero, zilch. They will never give in.

The Russians are not so hot, they will make a balls up of many things in their supposed victory, oligarchs and all. The new Russian Enclave will deteriorate as the West does as best they can to insulate themselves from Russian aggression, only this time for real. It's not just a military build up, but an economic and energy independence too. btw I always did wonder why Trump got so heavy handed over the German pipeline. Now its more apparent.

Then Boris and Joe, whomever, do a Tony Blair's Northern Ireland peace process repeat in Ukraine. The Good Friday agreement type of thing and peace ensues.

One interesting tit bit regarding Northern Ireland is when they interred all the Ultra Terrorists from both sides Catholic and Protestant, together... more or less, after a year or two the two sides started understanding each other and realised they were all misinformed human beings and that peace was actually better than war. I am expect a repeat of that process... human nature is what it is.

Then the politicians can go around advertising themselves as upgraded versions of Churchill and Roosevelt, the Ukrainians have lasting peace and everyone is happy. History can present Putin as a conciliatory and graceful victor in the Ukraine conflict. Maybe not true, but who really gives a chit about the truth once things are OK ?

Just a thought that occurred.

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