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Technology Stocks : American Power Conversion

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To: TobaccoMan who wrote (1949)2/9/1998 5:22:00 PM
From: Greg Higgins  Read Replies (2) of 2574
 
TobaccoMan writes: Who is going to do the math? Record Qtr & Year, $270 mil. cash, 20 to 25% next year..... What is she worth? Where is Joe when you need him? Does anyone have access to after-hours trading numbers?

I make it 21.4567 * 1.27 based on todays closing of 27 1/4.

Assuming the 21.45 stays somewhat consistent, with 20% growth we see earnings of 1.52 / share and a price of 32 5/8. At 25% growth, we see earnings of 1.59 and a share price of 34 1/16.

If the multiple matches the growth, we'll see 30 3/8 (1.52 * 20) to 39 3/4 (1.59 * 25).

In any event, we should be looking at a $30 stock price tomorrow.
Gosh, I hate making predictions, I'm always so wrong.

I called my broker and he said no buyers, no sellers.

Oh, by the way, considering that we were 32% growth over last years earnings, how come we're not 32 * 1.27 = 40 5/8 which is where I said we should have been 3 months ago.

Everybody's buying the heck out of Dell (except insiders who are selling) and APCC's languishing in the mid 20s. There is no such thing as common sense in the market.
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