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From: Don Green	6/1/2022 3:34:00 AM
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We look to our tropical models for a view into the future, but they paint a different picture for Central Florida. Model Comparison: GFS vs EUROEuropean (ECMWF) model The latest Euro run shows a possible tropical storm tracking toward the Florida Gulf Coast by the weekend. With this scenario, rainfall models are showing accumulations in upwards of 3-5 inches of rain for Central Florida. American GFS model On the other side of the coin, the GFS continues to keep a weaker area of low pressure south of Florida and into the Florida straits. With this projection, our rainfall would be limited, with just a trace of rain over the weekend. Rain Model Comparison: Euro vs GFSWill it be called Agatha or Alex? Since Agatha lost its center of circulation over the mountainous terrain of southern Mexico, if the remnants develop enough to become a named storm, it will NOT regain the “Agatha” name. Instead, it will take the first name on the list for the Atlantic Basin , which would be Alex

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