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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated

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THE WATSONYOUTH
To: skinowski who wrote (763623)6/5/2022 6:22:21 PM
From: TimF1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) of 793675
 
Another think about "realpolitik" being overly accommodating of the perceived interests of a foreign power can increase the risk of war as much as not sufficiently accommodating their interests. Maybe not in the short run they will get what they want and be happy I guess, but after that. Yield easily to unreasonable aggression that is at least peripherally attached to your interest and you give other powers more reason to view their interests and aims more expansively and take more aggressive measures to obtain them. You also encourage other powers not involved in the specific potential conflict to see you as easily yielding to force or threat of force at least if it doesn't go to far. Meanwhile your own people (both in general and those with political influence) may be fed up with yielding. Then you get challenged again, or maybe a third time with your rival expecting you to yield and instead your countries all angry and reacts even harder then they would have if the reaction was earlier.

Not much was done about Georgi, then came the Donbas and Crimea. A bit more was done but still very little then came the attack toward Kyiv. Had that succeeded, it might be all of Ukraine, and perhaps Moldova next. Meanwhile the PRC would be encouraged to consider efforts towards Taiwan. Realpolitik is supposed to be pragmatic, not just accommodating, and that chain of events is practically bad and also leads to a more serious risk of war than sending some weapons to Ukraine does.
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