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Strategies & Market Trends : The Art of Investing

PICK 46.32

-1.3%

Nov 13 4:00 PM EST

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To: Rarebird who wrote (3194)	6/18/2022 9:10:16 AM
From: Sun Tzu	Read Replies (2) of 10586

We need to revisit this story. The sell off started in January instead of February, so I was wrong by a month (give or take). Now we need to look for when the bottom will be reached. I can see a scenario where the corp guidance is positive or the earnings hit is not as bad as priced in and we can see rebound this summer. Or a worst case scenario of hitting the bottom in Q4 (more likely in late September timeframe). I am not looking at individual stocks this weekend, but I am going to spend some time doing fundamental analysis on the market as a whole. Here is a fun thought experiment - you and 99 other people are asked to pick a random number between 1 - 100. The winner is the person who picks a number 20% below the average number picked by everyone. How will this game go? What number will you pick? That is the kind of calculation that I will do this weekend.

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