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Strategies & Market Trends : Young and Older Folk Portfolio
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To: chowder who wrote (991)6/20/2022 11:15:28 AM
From: Rarebird  Read Replies (2) of 21937
 
That sounds fine and good, but presupposes that future bear markets will be brief and capped timewise to a year or two. However, how does this work in a multi-decade secular bear market where dividends are cut pretty drastically and the drawdown is 60%-90%. That old folk portfolio of yours would be devastated.

I only mention this because the day is coming when a secular bear of the magnitude and time extent I described above will be starting later this decade. What will you do then? I think you will be forced to liquidate that old folk portfolio of yours and possibly the mid folk portfolio too.

My point here is that there is a lot of risk in terms of what you are doing. The reward, of course, is great as long as markets cooperate and keep bear markets relatively short.
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