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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts

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To: Sun Tzu who wrote (65059)7/11/2022 10:29:16 PM
From: ajtj99  Read Replies (2) of 97571
 
Speaking of patterns, the TNX daily has a possible H&S top. It needs 11-more days to finish the right shoulder, and that takes us right up to the 1st day of the Fed July meeting.

The high for the right shoulder ideally would be in the 31.50 to 32 range, but anything below the head is OK. The 3-white soldier pattern targets around 32.75, so there's that as well.

The implied target for the H&S top would be around 19.6 on the TNX, which would mean 1.96% 10-year T-bills. This would imply a recession and Fed cuts down the road.

The negative divergent RSI-14 on the weekly also adds support to this read on the TNX.

schrts.co
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