Trader J's Inner Circle Message Board

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Trader J's Inner Circle

NVDA 183.61

+1.4%

Dec 22 3:59 PM EST

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next

To: Zen Dollar Round who wrote (55255)	10/4/2022 3:36:16 PM
From: Madharry	Read Replies (1) of 56535

To play devils advocate to your scenario. although i do agree with you about the algo-s and traders controlling manipulating the markets and by and large getting away with it. The cook book thesis and honestly highly dubious model is yours and I guess the feds. we will raise rates mortgage rates goes up people stop buying houses other people stop building them people get laid off and prices go down. the difference being that the fed probably has 400 economists and untold computer models to predict the impact of increasing fed fund rates under different scenarios but we have seen nary a one. why is that? I would submit to you that things are far more complex than your model . One of the reasons that the costing of housing went up so much was be cause there was not enough housing to begin with and rates were low so it was a sellers market. We are still undersupplied in terms of housing inventory. people have to live somewhere if there is less housing built the price of housing and rents will go up . so is the fed better off raising rates and keeping the shortfall of housing or even exacerbating that or keeping rates lower and possibly keeping a lid on rents which make up 1/3 of the inflation number? Congress and pundits should insist that the fed start providing us with their model that they are using to predict the economy and their decision making process. What is everyone afraid of? That the emperors are not wearing any clothes? The paranoid in me believes that the market may go sidewise down till the mid term elections and then go straight up after irrespective of who gets control of the senate or house of representatives. speaking of shortages for the first time ever I found a note on my prius with 175k miles from a guy saying he could not find a used prius for sale and would i be interested in selling mine.

Report TOU Violation

Share This Post

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next