Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) Message Board

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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)

AMZN 234.70

-1.2%

Nov 14 9:30 AM EST

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To: Don Westermeyer who wrote (1550)	2/11/1998 6:13:00 PM
From: Alomex	Read Replies (2) of 164684

Interesting everyone says 'look at AOL' now. In the past it was NSCP. Sure, but AOL's rally has lasted six years and counting. I'd say that at any given time the risk/reward ratio for AOL was too high, i.e. you had more chances of losing money than making any (consider the whole sector, like Delphi, Compuserve, GEnie and Prodigy to get an idea of the odds against), yet AOL pulled the trick and anybody who shorted it came out a sore loser. Or Cybercash? or Spyglass? There are lots of examples of high-fliers that crashed! But AMZN has high revenues to back up its claims to fame. I think comparing it against Cybercash is apples and oranges. Amazon should be compared to NSCP, AOL and IOM. What can you conclude? That the risks of playing either side, long or short, are just too high. You want to short a high flier, I prefer the odds with Yahoo: they don't have the revenues, and Softbank is under a lot of pressure to sell....

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