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Strategies & Market Trends : Dino's Bar & Grill

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To: Goose94 who wrote (136651)11/6/2022 1:31:18 AM
From: Goose94Read Replies (1) of 202767
 
HUV-T: Recession on the Horizon



Both the US and Canada are contending with decades-high inflation, falling bond prices and equity markets, declining house prices, and mounting geopolitical tensions. Bloomberg Economics forecast model predicts a 100% probability of U.S. recession in the coming year. Although most other projections are not as certain, most are pointing to recession. The inverted yield curve is also a signal of a pending recession. An inverted yield curve occurs when short-term interest rates, in this case the 3-month U.S. Treasury yield climbed above the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield. Since World War II this type of inversion has been a reliable signal of a pending recession in the following 6 to 18 months. Immediately prior to and during recessions, financial risks increase, including the risk of default, business failure, and bankruptcy. In Canada, the CMHC (Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation) predicts the Canadian economy will enter a modest recession by the end of 2022 and start recovering in the second half of 2023.

Capitalight Research
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