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Gold/Mining/Energy : Post Practice For KK - Temporary

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To: Kerm Yerman who wrote (54)2/11/1998 10:59:00 PM
From: Kerm Yerman   of 122
 
Drilling & Oilfield Services
UPDATE

February 10, 1998

Enerflex (EFX-T $36.00)

Enerflex reported EPS of $0.52 in Q4/97 compared to $0.36 in Q4/96.
Revenue growth over the same period was 27% which reflects robust
demand for natural gas compression equipment both in western Canada
and internationally. Margins in the latest period were also excellent
reflecting a high level of parts and service business as well as the
timing of completion of international contracts.

Outlook

The order backlog in both western Canada and internationally is very
strong. An office in the U.K. was recently opened to service the
rapidly growing North Sea gas compression equipment market. The
planned increase in natural gas pipeline capacity out of western
Canada is also expected to boost demand for compression equipment.
Enerflex is building a new production facility in Calgary which will
double manufacturing capacity and should be completed in late 1998.
We have raised our 1998 EPS estimate from $2.00 to $2.20 to reflect
the favourable outlook.

Valuation

As shown in the following table, Enerflex has established an excellent
track record of growth in revenue and net income. Since 1993,
Enerflex has generated a compound annual growth rate of 29% in revenue
and 34% in earnings per share. This time frame encompasses a period
of weak gas pricing, in the winter of 1994-95, and demonstrates the
ability of this company to grow in difficult market conditions. The
expansion of the parts and service and overhaul market segments as
well as the very successful international expansion are examples how
Enerflex has offset some temporary weakness in western Canadian gas
markets.

Enerflex
Quarterly Revenue & EPS Revenue($mm)
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Year
1993 $19.9 $28.9 $37.9 $33.3 $120.0
1994 45.7 48.9 55.9 66.9 217.3
1995 67.6 48.7 57.2 49.3 222.7
1996 55.6 52.4 62.5 75.5 246.0
1997 82.8 84.3 73.6 95.5 336.2

EPS-ProForma
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Year
1993 $0.07 $0.13 $0.16 $0.16 $0.51
1994 0.24 0.26 0.33 0.35 1.18
1995 0.35 0.28 0.25 0.20 1.07
1996 0.20 0.26 0.28 0.36 1.10
1997 0.37 0.40 0.38 0.52 1.67

Long term we are very optimistic about the demand for compression
equipment in western Canada for two reasons. First, the increasing
pipeline capacity will create incremental demand for equipment.
Second, older mature gas fields will continue to require more powerful
compression equipment to maintain their deliverability. The
international prospects are equally enticing as Enerflex has grown the
international revenues from virtually nil five years ago to the
current level of over $70 million (20% of revenue).

We have a one-year target price of $40 per share with considerable
longer term upside. We recommend that investors buy shares of this
exceptionally well-managed company.
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