Tenchu's Thoughts: RuZZia is Running Out of Time, Not Ammo
- I really doubt RuZZia is running low on ammo. Despite all of the assistance that Ukraine is getting, Ukraine is still being outgunned in straight up artillery duels.
- However, I do think RuZZia is running low on cruise missiles and long-range rockets like the ones launched from their converted S-300 systems. That explains why RuZZia's strikes on Ukrainian infrastructure have slowed down.
- RuZZia will always have a steady supply of Iranian drones, which are cheap and easy to build. However, those drones can easily be shot down, and it won't be long before Ukraine is able to shoot down 95% of them.
- We're back to the phase of the war where RuZZia is trading lives for land, and Ukraine is trading land for time.
- Speaking of which, time is not on RuZZia's side, and they know it. Hence, they've accelerated their daily troop losses, all to gain small political victories at high cost. They're also pulling in their dates for when general mobilization will start. When that happens, the real endgame will begin, because other than nukes, this will be PooTin's final card to play.
- Meanwhile Ukraine continues to receive aid from NATO, and that aid evolves with the changing circumstances of the war. Consider this:
- During the assault on Kyiv, NATO was sending anti-tank weapons to Ukraine, which were used to great effect. They helped repel the initial assault.
- After the failed assault on Kyiv (sorry, "feint" according to the PooTin cucks), RuZZia changed the war into an artillery battle. They made small but incremental gains until Mr. HIMARS paid a visit.
- After losing Kharkiv and Kherson, RuZZia started exhausting their entire supply of cruise missiles, long-range rockets, and Iranian drones to strike the Ukrainian power grid. This has tapered off somewhat, but we can expect these attacks to continue. This is leading NATO to send more modern air defenses like Patriot missile batteries, but that'll take time to set up and train.
- Meanwhile, RuZZia is now sending waves of expendables in order to grab territory, city block by city block. Again, NATO is responding by sending more tanks and armored vehicles, including the American M2 Bradley, but again, that'll take time to set up and train.
You can see the trend here. At every step of the way, RuZZia adapts, NATO adapts, and Ukraine adapts.
At every step of the way, RuZZia's decline accelerates bit-by-bit, while Ukraine stands strong and NATO assistance continues unabated.
I know in the past that I've faulted Brandon for not taking more decisive action to achieve victory in a more timely manner. And I still do.
But the trends are unmistakable. The battlefield front lines may look like a stalemate, but the loss of RuZZian life is accelerating, and PooTin's regime is in decline.
It's only a matter of time (and lives, unfortunately).
Tenchusatsu |
