Re <<war>>
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The Russian–Ukrainian war’s conventional character is far from new. In fact, it looks a lot like the last century’s World Wars. While the new aspects of this war have generated discussion within the defense industry as to the evolving character of war, an acknowledgment of the conflict’s conventional character is largely missing from the discourse. Nuclear weapons have actually proved to be ineffective. They no longer present a deterrent when both sides have them. While we have spent untold fortunes on high-tech, the bottom line remains that boots on the ground are still the required deployment.
Our models have been targeting January and in many cases February as a Panic Cycle. This has been aligned with geopolitical models. On December 25th, 2022, Putin said he was willing to negotiate with Ukraine and the West on ending the conflict, but insisted it was not his fault talks were not progressing. Neither the US nor Ukraine are interested in any peace talks whatsoever. A decision has been made and World War III is now starting to unfold. Note that in Ukraine we have a Panic Cycle which has now aligned with the 31.4-year target on Ukraine which is April 6th.
Gold, which is really a market linked to confidence in government rather than the nonsense of inflation, has traditionally rallied during times of war. Here we have had a Double Monthly Directional Change in January which has helped the rally, but February is the final target with yet another Directional Change. But look further out and the strongest target is June just after our geopolitical targets in April/May.
Our sources from Russia are confirming that Putin is being forced to confront that this is a war against Russia by NATO merely using Ukraine as the battering ram. They are preparing Poland for the next sacrificial lamb on this neocon altar that is intent on conquering Russia and they now are lobbying Putin to open his eyes. Putin did come out and declared in December: He continued: "I believe that we are acting in the right direction, we are defending our national interests, the interests of our citizens, our people. And we have no other choice but to protect our citizens."
If Putin were to be replaced, it is probably going to be Dmitry Medvedev, deputy chairman of the Security Council of Russi. He has said the West was supplying enough weapons to Kyiv to "destroy" his country. He made that statement on Telegram. The West is pouring tanks, F16s, you name it into Ukraine for the very purpose of not defending the Donbasm but to launch an invasion into Russia. This is what he is talking about. Before these latest commitments of tanks and F16 and diverting supplies of weapons from South Korea and Israel to Ukraine, the US has already provided Ukraine with TWICE the budget of Germany and nearly 50% of the budget of China. Ukraine has received almost 50% more than Russia has spent.
On top of all of this, the Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov bluntly came out and said that America is not powerful enough to stand up to China and Russia together. The people surrounding Putin are demanding action and their criticism of Put has been that he is too soft. Lavrov came out and said:
"As for what is happening in Ukraine, we are talking about the fact that it is no longer a hybrid war, but a real one, the West has been preparing for a long time against Russia, trying to destroy everything Russian that is left in Ukraine.
The word is that Russia is coming very close to a Declaration of War. They are calling it a "New Patriotic War" against NATO and vowing that "Victory will be ours, like 1812 and 1945"
Since Put has appointed General Valery Gerasimov as commander of the overall campaign in Ukraine, the word is that this was done to prepare for a real war. General Valery Gerasimov, chief of the Russian General Staff, in becoming the overall commander of the campaign, is a signal that Putin has no choice but to look at the reality that this is a war against Russia by NATO. They have now also activated 300,000 reservists, trained, and equipped. Russia is obviously now preparing for the real war. With the West throwing every possible weapons system now into Ukraine to hopefully deal Russia a death blow, the nature of this conflict is changing dramatically.
We need to keep an eye on the arrays. That seems to be the most reliable source we have to define when and where. |
