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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 421.29-0.5%Jan 16 4:00 PM EST

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maceng2
To: maceng2 who wrote (195815)2/4/2023 4:07:27 AM
From: sense1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) of 219498
 
Looks like classic suckers rally to me...

I have no interest in playing when the degree of detachment from reality is this great...

Odds are, shorts having bailed means... harvest done... banks happy... lower next week... etc.

But, avoid...

Markets still driven by speculative flows not "rational investment" = "steer clear" and "wait for it"...

Prices lower than peak bubble, but we're still a long way from a correction of excesses having occurred...

China's ending zero Covid so "they" expect a boom... but demand is in contraction, and only early in that... no market for "more" for a long time.

See almost zero discussion of how R's plan for reimposing a hint of fiscal sanity relative to D's helicopter money means... gravy train over ?

Powell did far too little for way too long... then too much too fast... with monetary lags of 6 to 12 months... and the markets wrongly thinking "its over" when its not...

The synergy of a fiscal re-grounding with something more like monetary sanity from here... with our still not having seen more than the beginning of correction ? Odds are they're not comprehending the nature of the underlying secular changes occurring or anticipating resulting changes in "leverage" of homeostatic inputs any better than investors or China have...

Charlie Munger and Peter Schiff look at the world differently... yet, they agree, now ?

I think that worth noting... Peter's always been right, but as a broken clock. Charlie's telling you the time.
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