Irrespective of what Martin this day says (emphasis Martin's) I remain agnostic given that MSM tells me Ukraine has been and is winning, and but for 300 tanks and some F16s, Crimea in the bag. I might have gotten the #s wrong
Martin is too grim? Zelensky more believable?
Agnostic and wait to see, if rug-pull on Kiev or change of flag over Crimea.
ask-socrates.com
Blog
I am posting this on this private blog where Google cannot search. I wanted to say that confidential sources are saying that the US military leadership does NOT want to fight Russia in Ukraine or anywhere else. When you go to war, you better have a good reason and you must look at the consequences, which we have never done from Vietnam to Iraq. We assume our power ensures victory, but in reality, when there is nothing to gain, even a victory is but a hallow loss. Even Niccolo Machiavelli warned:
"Wars begin when you will, but they do not end when you please."
The neocons in Washington, on both sides Republican and Democrat, decided to wage war confronting Moscow using Ukraine as a Proxy War and cannon fodder. Washington was always employing American military power committing it to conflicts that Americans thought they could win, but if they lost, it would never be a security threat to the nation - i.e. South Korea, Vietnam, and Iraq. The adversary was always perceived to be vulnerable and weak. None of these wars ever were about some threat to American security. However, as they often say - this time is different!
The arrogance of those in Washington has blinded them to understanding the culture of Russia and their history of Western attempts to invade and subject Russia to Western domination. Russia did not collapse internally nor did it crumble to dust or capitulate following 1991. Washington has always underestimated Russia’s culture in addition to its military potential. Its arrogance has also blinded them so they could not see that Russia is relatively immune to Western economic sanctions because it does not depend upon Western energy or material. They were also blind to the fact that the sanction imposed on Russia had more of an economic impact on the West than on Russia.
Consequently, we must step back and look without the bias of propaganda. This proxy war against Russia instigated by Washington is failing. What is fascinating is that even Lloyd Austin, the U.S. Defense Secretary, told the allies in Germany at Ramstein Air Base on January 20th, 2023 that there is not much time left saying:
“We have a window of opportunity here, between now and the spring.” This jives with our geopolitical models warning about April/May 2023 as a critical turning point. Despite the fact that reliable sources have been warning the political establishment that there is nothing to gain, and everything to lose, by a direct confrontation with Russia. This is indeed different. It is not Vietnam, Korea, or Iraq. This time a war with Russia presents a clear and present danger that the United States will cease to exist if it should lose. That is far different than the stroll into Iraq. This would not be a video game we get to watch on TV and go out to dinner.
Zelensky puts out nothing but lies and propaganda to (1) keep the money coming, and (2) try to pretend that his military can actually defeat Russia. Alexei Arestovich, the fired adviser of Zelensky, turned on him and questioned what was taking place and if Ukraine could win this war with Russia. He also has been censored but he too has looked past the propaganda and questioned whether under Zelensky's stubborn leadership if Ukraine will even survive this war as a nation-state.
I reported before that 100,000 Ukrainian troops have been killed. I got hate mail claiming that was Russian propaganda. I replied my sources were direct from Ukraine and that info was classified. When the head of the EU mentioned 100,000 troops were killed, Zelensky told her to remove that. Well, now those same sources put the Ukrainian losses of at least now about 150,000+ with yet another 35,000 missing in action. That is 3x the American losses in Vietnam. They only had 250,000 men in the army and now called up reservists they claim were over 250,000. I am sorry for the counter-narrative. But the risk of Ukraine collapsing by April/May is real.
The real question becomes, with tanks and some considering F16s handed to Ukraine, they would most likely use them to attack Russia directly out of revenge. That would run the risk of a serious escalation of this war. There are those warning that an all-out assault on Crimea may result in the use of nuclear weapons.
Zelensky is constantly pleading for money, but that money somehow is not getting to the people. He has become such a world hero, his personal ego is now wrapped up in this war and that is dangerous for he would run the risk of the total collapse of Ukraine rather than step out of the limelight. On top of that, the sheer material losses are incalculable. Zelensky just turned on the oligarch, Kolomoiskiy, who funded him. This was the same guy who hired Hunter Biden. Sources say he has turned against Zelensky for destroying Ukraine.
The sheer loss of military assets from thousands of tanks, armored infantry fighting vehicles, artillery systems, air defense platforms, and weapons of all calibers is beyond what the West is willing to even talk about. This war has cost years of even Javelin missile production for nearly a decade. Russians can still file more artillery rounds at a ratio of 10:1 against Ukraine.
The White House is so wrapped up in this war against Russia that they too are reaching a dangerous level of true desperation from all our sources. There are those suggesting that perhaps Ukraine needs a nuclear deterrence even if it is outside of NATO. Meanwhile, there are cracks starting to take place with Austria and Hungary refusing to send arms to Ukraine as they see the handwriting on the wall. Additionally, Ukraine will deliberately start World War III rather than lose.
Even Croatia is now also acknowledging the lack of support for Washington’s proxy war and the White House's desperate desire to postpone Ukraine’s foreseeable defeat any way they can. The German politicians have not learned from two prior world wars. Sending arms to Ukraine has upset a lot of German people who fear this is risking the future of all of Europe.
Political Washington is so overtly hostile to Russia and to the truth, that they are ignoring that this time it's different. Russia can destroy the United States. We are not dealing with Iraq. There is no question that Washington has railroaded Germany, Ukraine, and Poland into conflict with Russia.
The #1 question in making any decision to go to war is, do I have more to gain than I do to lose? There is absolutely NOTHING to gain from this war. Those cheering in the White House are all really climate change idiots and view to save the planet, Russia must be totally destroyed. Their goals are insane and they should be locked up in an asylum.
Beware of April/May This is Getting Desperate |
