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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 368.31+0.6%Nov 7 4:00 PM EST

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Pogeu Mahone
To: Cogito Ergo Sum who wrote (196136)2/11/2023 4:52:18 PM
From: sense1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) of 217620
 
Thanks. Useful perspective for me. I'm not totally ignorant of Canada (maybe understand it a bit better than most Americans... as I can find it on a map) but have never bothered closely following the ins and outs of things up there. Trying to translate between "party" interest up there... and here... can become confusing for any here not used to following other systems, where a parliamentary division between multiple players in narrowly focused parties exists openly... while here the "minority parties" are very deliberately excluded from relevance... their "interests" intended to be subsumed into variations in the representation within the two major parties... which works badly if at all... Sanders a clear case in point.

Winner takes all within the party... and winner takes (almost) all in winning majority control in elections... leaving it up to judgement and discretion how to address minority concerns.

Mostly, here, that means seeking to obviate them... so, both Sanders and Tulsi Gabbard get sidelined, even though the two of them probably are closer to 50% of the party than any of the "centrists". By 2020, Biden wouldn't get elected dog catcher, not even in Delaware... if he wasn't forced on them by the majority party.

So, shifts here tend to occur "gradually" as changes within a party as much or more as between them... that contest between Sanders and Hillary, or Biden... not being confusing at all to Canadians, I'd guess... while most here probably never noticed it happening.

In consequence, change here is slow to occur... which is intentional in the design of the system... as you have to sustain positions over the long term in order to effect change within a party, much less within the system. That's "good"... in the sense it works to resist excess in changes inspired in the passion of a moment. That might have been a better thing back in the day... when the pace of change, generally, was slower ? Its bad in the instance of dramatic change being necessary and required NOW... bad again in what you've seen here the last few years... pretty much since Bush I... with an air of desperation permeating the aging out crowd of leadership on the left... driving them into egregious excesses that are only now beginning to be made widely discussed items of awareness... including the capture and partisan "weaponization" of the DOJ and FBI...and the suppression of First Amendment rights thereby... to and including taking political prisoners... as Julian Assange... and the hapless dupes made victims of the pre-planned / staged event on Jan 6 and the subsequent witchhunt... That degree of desperation driven excess isn't likely to occur, either if you're aware that change can occur more quickly... or you're aware that party lines can shift more rapidly with defections of minorities if you abuse them. Also, of course, there's not a need for desperation driving your choices... if you have no reason to be desperate. And, from that, you can parse a lot about America and its future that you might not notice otherwise... with both short term and longer term elements in that, mostly related to the functions of fundamentals and whether or not there is "good faith" inherent in the participation... which, the last few years, there has not been any of on the left... leading them into enabling some pretty insane choices in behavior...

Some has been on tap since the 1970's... as redux of Carter/Reagan conflicts over $... the potential for socialism "working" only until it consumes enough of other people's money that the supply runs out. It reached and exceeded that limit under Carter... Reagan pulled it back from the abyss... but not in as profound a way as media might have you believe... they restored the currency first... and then grew the economy forward faster than government consumption grew... but, still, did that based on an accelerated issuance of debt... And, then Bush/Clinton/Bush/Obama gave us serial years of half a step forward, two steps back... until... after failure in 2008... an increasingly desperate series in sleights of hand hoping to, but unable to, put the wheels back... Trump slowed the roll but was prevented from fixing it. Biden, in a Carter redux... pushed us over the edge, again... while deliberately undoing Trump's work. The desperation clearly apparent, again, in the left's insanity, which Trump forces them to expose, in crossing red lines in weaponizing the government to persecute their political opponents. It's not all and only "economic"... The Death of Global Order Was Caused by Clinton, Bush, and Obama
But, Trump excepted... and, now Biden carving out some ballistic trajectories of his own... its also not quite as much the case that the conflicts were as real as was "hyped" in media and partisan talking points:
George Soros Funds The Bush-Clinton-Obama Group Pushing For Afghan Migrants
Americans get that "it hasn't been working" for some time... that the change they vote for never happens... that being EXACTLY why they did elect Trump (and likely will again)... but, they're only now really beginning to figure out HOW BADLY and HOW DELIBERATELY they've been lied to...

So, just ahead is still "a reckoning yet to occur"... which the media are not allowed to address or even hint at as a potential... making it all the more remarkable that a MAJORITY of people now "get it"... even if in a less coherent form that is likely to come...

Economic and political winds appear to show a forecast for changes coming... based on the lies failing...

Nuance and timing in "events" likely to matter... but, clocks are ticking... and all the things they've been keeping bottled up aren't looking like they're going to stay that way much longer...

Everyone has their own biases, assumptions, and resulting myopias. I'm always looking for others views... to see what others can see that I might be missing... which usually results in a synthesis of others opinions that is more useful to me that "my own preferences"... which are hardly ever made particularly relevant.

Being an outsider makes it easier to see things being put in play that those inside WILL fail to perceive...

Sort of the subject of the board title, I suppose... ?
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