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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts
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To: Lee Lichterman III who wrote (77157)3/2/2023 11:16:55 AM
From: The Ox2 Recommendations

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ajtj99
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In the last month, we've seen the 10 year yields rise by 20%, repricing from roughly 3.4% to over 4%.

The peak of last October, 4.33% was set when the market realized the reality of 5%+ FED funds rates.

In hindsight, the peak looked like an overshoot, which is why (IMO) the market backed off and down to the 3.4 to 3.9 range.

This last month's action in rates looks very similar to the move from August of last year into the peak, nearly straight up. The main difference seems to be the starting point of the 3.4% area compared to the washout lows in early August of 2.5%.

How high will we see the 10yr go on this move? How low will TLT, TLH, etc...fall?
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