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Biotech / Medical : 2023 Biotech Charity Contest

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To: technetium who wrote (69)3/11/2023 4:33:28 PM
From: technetium1 Recommendation

Recommended By
BulbaMan

  Read Replies (1) of 233
 
Well, any one who has been listening to financial news this last weeks will not be surprised to hear this week’s one word summary: “Bad”. In fact to was a
Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Week.” That is to say, more or less typical of last year’s reports. Nasdaq Composite down -4.7%, and the biotech indices down worse (the S&P Biotech index shed -9.4%). The YTD performance of the NASDAQ Composite is still in the black (+$6.4k for that $100k portfolio), but that’s roughly half of what it was just last week (+$12k). Also both biotech indices are solidly in the red, YTD.

Meanwhile, as reported on twitter, a slew of biotechs are saying they have absolutely no money sitting in limbo at SVB, and those that do are saying it’s only a little bit of money. “De minimus.”

If I had many millions of cash go into limbo, perhaps never to be seen again, I’d probably use a phrase a little stronger than, “Business as usual.”

Another phrase common amongst companies affected by SVB is, “Can I make payroll?”
investorshub.advfn.com

The contest portfolio stock choices, less than six per cent of the stocks were positive for the week. If you look at the top 5 recent performance stocks, the fact that the very best BLCM, a thinly traded stock with no particular reason in the news feeds, was only +12% of their initial price, and then performance drops sharply, and after the top five you have CDTX (+0.7%) and PMGM (+0.13%). The rest were in the red. The very worst was STTK, down -53%, continuing a general downward slide since their fourth quarter earnings call the previous week, wiping out most of the gain they posted for the year.

The next big losers for the week, JSPR (-40%) and OCUL (-37%), are both top YTD performers, now a little less stellar than before (JSPR:+260% YTD; OCUL:+73%).

Every portfolio was in the red for the week, with the median change in portfolio value for the week was -$13k. The YTD portfolio values are still mostly in the black, with the median and average values are both hanging in there with +$3k,+$4.2k respectively. But the number of portfolios at a loss YTD has increased from 4 to 6, almost half the contestants. The best for the week was last year’s winner GENEGURU, dropping only -$3.4k. Once again a bad week in JSPR translated to a bad week for our first place YTD portfolio, BLADERUNNER, -$18.6k, but he’s still top for the year, +$60k. Below BLADERUNNER was a fair bit of mixing in the positions of the 2nd through 6th position.


Report Time Ranges











From

To

















Recent

3/3/2023

3/10/23

















YTD

12/31/2022









Index Portfolios’ Performance









Symbol

Recent P/L

Recent %

YTD P/L

















^IXIC

-$5,256.00

-4.7%

$6,424.38

















^NBI

-$6,163.96

-6.3%

-$7,649.70

















^SPSIBI

-$9,357.82

-9.4%

-$9,310.62









Share Performance

Recent Performance

YTD Performance



Top Five



Bottom Five



Top Five



Bottom 5

Symbol

P/L / Initial Price

Symbol

P/L / Initial Price

Symbol

YTD P/L / Initial Price

Symbol

YTD P/L/ Initial Price

BLCM

12.7%

STTK

-53.0%

JSPR

258.2%

BCAB

-70.9%

PTE

3.4%

JSPR

-39.3%

INZY

163.8%

GLYC

-56.8%

XAIR

2.2%

OCUL

-37.0%

CDTX

106.3%

FATE

-51.6%

MODD

2.0%

ICPT

-36.9%

MGTA

89.9%

AVTX

-51.2%

NAUT

1.7%

MBIO

-31.9%

OCUL

73.3%

PDSB

-51.1%

Average and Median Portfolio Performance



Recent P/L







YTD P/L







Avg.

Median







Avg

Median







-$12,877.27

-$12,716.14

BULBAMAN



$4,243.25

$3,012.30

TECHNETIUM

Top Seven Portfolio Performances

Top Recent Performers

Top YTD Performers

Contestant (Prev. Rank)

Recent P/L

P/L vs. ^SPSIBI

YTD P/L (Rank)

Contestant (Prev. Rank)

YTD P/L

vs. Top Portfolio

P/L vs. ^SPSIBI

Rec. P/L (Rank)

1 - GENEGURU (14)

-$3,416.25

$5,941.57

-$13,946.43 (13)

1 - BLADERUNNER (1)

$59,876.29

——

$69,186.91

-$18,635.57 (14)

2 - TECHNETIUM (11)

-$8,922.88

$434.95

$3,012.30 (8)

2 - ALONER (5)

$17,154.26

$42,722.03

$26,464.89

-$9,887.08 (3)

3 - ALONER (3)

-$9,887.08

-$529.26

$17,154.26 (2)

3 - TOMATO (3)

$16,256.38

$43,619.91

$25,567.00

-$12,153.99 (7)

4 - A.J. MULLEN (10)

-$10,061.71

-$703.89

-$16,528.26 (14)

4 - STEVE LOKNESS (4)

$14,281.08

$45,595.21

$23,591.70

-$12,962.14 (9)

5 - DEW DILIGENCE (15)

-$11,438.49

-$2,080.66

$7,017.49 (7)

5 - ARTHUR RADLEY (2)

$12,024.00

$47,852.29

$21,334.63

-$16,707.35 (13)

6 - RKRW (8)

-$11,803.83

-$2,446.00

$8,078.32 (6)

6 - RKRW (7)

$8,078.32

$51,797.98

$17,388.94

-$11,803.83 (6)

7 - TOMATO (4)

-$12,153.99

-$2,796.17

$16,256.38 (3)

7 - DEW DILIGENCE (8)

$7,017.49

$52,858.81

$16,328.11

-$11,438.49 (5)

Top Portfolios’ Contents

Top Recent Performance Portfolio (GENEGURU)

Top YTD Performance Portfolio (BLADERUNNER)

Symbol (Rank)

Current Allocation

Value/Total | ROI

YTD Stock P/L

Recent Stock P/L

% Current Price Change for $1,000 P/L

Symbol (Rank)

Initial Allocation

Value/Total | ROI

YTD Stock P/L

Recent Stock P/L

% Current Price Change for $1,000 P/L

AXSM

5.0%

4.4% | -24.3%

-$1,214.83

-$446.65

26.4%

CRDF

20.0%

15.5% | 23.6%

$4,714.29

-$428.57

4.0%

CMRX

5.0%

4.2% | -26.9%

-$1,344.09

-$725.81

27.4%

CRIS

15.0%

10.7% | 14.3%

$2,140.91

-$1,677.27

5.8%

DCTH

20.0%

30.4% | 30.8%

$6,156.11

-$455.00

3.8%

ENTA

5.0%

3.0% | -3.1%

-$153.70

-$260.10

20.6%

GLYC

20.0%

10.0% | -56.8%

-$11,353.14

-$1,650.17

11.6%

IOVA

10.0%

6.1% | -2.8%

-$281.69

-$1,784.04

10.3%

INVA

5.0%

4.7% | -18.6%

-$928.30

-$75.47

24.6%

JSPR

20.0%

44.8% | 258.2%

$51,635.61

-$7,867.49

1.4%

MODD

5.0%

6.8% | 17.0%

$850.00

$100.00

17.1%

MBIO

10.0%

6.6% | 5.0%

$501.27

-$3,187.34

9.5%

PRQR

20.0%

18.0% | -22.7%

-$4,540.54

-$594.59

6.5%

MGTA

5.0%

5.9% | 89.9%

$4,493.67

-$743.04

10.5%

XAIR

20.0%

21.4% | -7.9%

-$1,571.65

$431.43

5.4%

MRSN

15.0%

7.4% | -21.2%

-$3,174.06

-$2,687.71

8.5%
















































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