Otherwise...
Every market move is a good move... if you're on the right side of the trade (and your counter-party survives.)
Short list of ETFs for "right siding" recently... but... still good, tomorrow ?
AGQ - 2x Silver Bull... pending "the usual" in the "take-down"... but maybe not this time ? (can they afford it ?)
TMF - 3x 20 Yr T Bull... rates lower... maybe FAST... or not... or, lower for a good while... but not yet ?
FAZ - 3x bear as banks are very, very very bad... its not over yet... maybe "just starting"... takes time to fix.
ERY - 2x bear as energy is only very, very bad... recession looming... or, deflationary depression... ?
KOLD - short-term... for now, but might be warming trend in spring...
Gold / silver driven by inflation vs deflation narratives... but, trump is "financial crisis risks realized" ? Not much to see out there now that is likely to drive "increasing confidence" ?
So, some say... they have to raise 25 basis points... just to avoid telegraphing panic... as 0 might do...
Or, maybe they DO need to lower right away to avoid... what happens if they raise rates into a gaping maw as deadly vortex of deflapressionarianism ?
Correlating timing... between "financial crisis growing out of control" and "stocks going down"... seems, oddly, to just really not have occurred to anyone yet... ? Just lots of indecision and milling about on up vs down, volatility, one moment to another, but not going anywhere... And, rates going down like a high speed elevator is a good thing, right ?
S&P closing below 3807.5... which was December 28's counter peak low... should decide it...
"Inflation" is TOO HOT signals last week... but, suddenly said to be deflation risks coming on fast ?
So... patience required... but, not too much of it... or ???
Market currently undecided what Fed might do... which is perhaps an exactly accurate reading ?
What is the right market call based on chart pattern of: Deer in Headlights ?
But, it seems a trick question anyway... as, from here, there is no right answer... only choices of wrong ones. |