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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts

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To: Lee Lichterman III who wrote (77544)3/16/2023 10:26:43 AM
From: The Ox4 Recommendations

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Lee Lichterman III
Lou Weed
Sokka
towerdog

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Tell me why Powell should pause

Powell should pause for many reasons, the #1 reason is that each raise in rates takes several quarters in time to filter through the system. So, if we're slowing down and he continues to slam the brakes - he'll break even more industries than just some poorly run banks.

No, inflation has not come down the way everyone would like to see. However, being backwards looking at a time when we need a forward vision is the mistake made time and time again.

Take a look at the 10 year bond market. It's dropped 50 basis points in the past 2 \weeks - the market is screaming to Powell, slow down. Give this a little time.

Will the FED listen?

Those saying pivot are talking out of their "proverbials". I could see them pausing for a year or more. But pause is exactly what they should do...IMO.
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