Re <<"...We finally have clarity and honesty about the real motives and goals of the U.S. proxy war in Ukraine. ... their real goal is and always has been not to protect and defend Ukraine, but to sacrifice it. ..">>
... is doubtlessly one way to look at the situation. Am agnostic on whether correct or not.
If correct before, earlier, might be the case that Team USA now wish to be rid of the complications, free of the 'fly-paper' effect, and not be sacrificed along with Ukraine, essentially demilitarised along with the rest of Nato as Ukraine already demilitarising and fast.
Ukraine was never an imperative of Team USA until USA made so such say around mid-year 2022.
But, could be the case that existential trumps imperative, still, and for Team Russia, seen from Moscow, might be existential.
Dunno. We shall know when we know. Taking a guess, ...
(1) For Team USA, best that Russia loses, and at least that Russia does not win, but better USA does not be seen to lose.
(2) For Team Russia, must win.
(3) For Team China, Russia must not lose / Nato must not win.
(4) Rest of the domains (including Nato, India, etc) all around the planet, chess pieces, likely.
(5) For Ukraine, two ways out, total surrender or totally rekt
Suppose the three main players know and agree that above (1) - (5) accurately describes motivations, then
(a) Ukraine surrendering suits all except USA (to lesser degree, rest of Nato)
(b) Ukraine rekt suits Russia and indifferent to all others (geostrategically-realist-speaking)
Ukraine has the deciding vote until and if rekt, and might possibly be close to that moment of decision.
Team USA / Nato must decide whether to do boots on the ground and double down.
Team Russia is grinding on and away, seemingly getting stronger.
Team China simply noting, 'when all of you want to stop, let's powwow after shaking hands in Beijing'
Europe is realising, 'must not lose China, for more important than Nord Stream I and II'.
Ukraine figuring out, if even considering surrendering, best keep China engaged.
Team China, in the mean time, simply demonstrating, the way to peace vs the path to war, for all to see, Beijing or Washington DC.
Team Toria Nuland on Blinken on Biden looking at the clock that comes to full stop 2024 November.
Rest of Team USA would presumably wish to be with the winning team, and if not winning team, at least not be the losing team.
Issue, is <<ending this war diplomatically>> a loss, is just one of many questions until no longer a question. Was Afghanistan a loss? a forgotten or never even asked question.
Dunno. A guess amongst many possible guesses. We shall know when we know.
Interesting that many well placed mainland Chinese residing in HK cannot summarise a watch & brief w/r to the Ukraine situation and genuinely lost as to why's and therefore's, whereas many Taiwanese Chinese residing in HK can and do, per my perch yesterday entertaining 12 folks yesterday from Mainland and from Taiwan.
Also interesting, the mainland Chinese do not have much of an opinion on whether there shall be a war against, in and over Taiwan, whereas the Taiwanese say there will not be a war, because the KMT shall come back in power during election early 2024, and no-change-until-change shall again be primary mission of the governing authority, and no, Team USA does not have a vote.
Drama.
Agnostic.
Let's see. |
