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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 374.27-0.2%Nov 21 4:00 PM EST

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To: ggersh who wrote (198442)4/29/2023 5:11:59 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (1) of 217986
 
I did a bit of rabbit hole exploration to see how events might go, and quickly got lost, and so I remain agnostic, wait to see around corner and over the crest. Appears that Poland leading Nato to do rug-pull on Ukraine and if so, not right.

Seems only way to make right, correct or otherwise, astute or not so, is for Poland leading Nato to put boots on the ground and in the open.

Should Nato fail to do right, Russia may well continue to solve the security problem in an apparently successful way, for if not now, when, and if not here, where else.

Agnostic, but watchful.

(A) OTOH, XeroHedge spins it that we ought to listen to the Polish General Rajmund Andrzejczak, he who allegedly now notes much that all advisable should take into account into the macro view so that (1) not surprised, and (2) not stance-d wrong:

zerohedge.com

"We Simply Don't Have The Ammo" - Polish General Says Can No Longer Supply Ukraine, Warns Russia Has Resources To Continue War

Via Remix News,

Speaking at a strategy session of the National Security Bureau, the Polish Armed Forces chief of staff General Rajmund Andrzejczak said that when he analyzes the war in Ukraine politically, he is pessimistic.

This is, he explained, because “there is nothing that indicates that Russia will lack the resources to continue the conflict.”

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He said during the session that he did not feel sanctions would stop Russia from having the funds to continue the war.

The general also offered a bleak assessment of Poland’s ability to send ammunition to Ukraine.
“We simply don’t have the ammunition. Our industry isn’t ready to send the equipment to Ukraine and to maintain our own dwindling reserves,” he said.
He noted that he was tirelessly presenting such an analysis in order to raise awareness.

He continued his remarks by saying that “war is not the business of soldiers.”

It is rather “a question of politics with economic factors involving finance, infrastructure, technology, food, and a range of other problems that you have to figure into the equation to be able to understand it.”

Gen. Andrzejczak observed that “Ukraine is experiencing huge financial problems,” despite the huge aid packages it was receiving from the U.S., the West and Poland.

Gen. Andrzejczak told the National Security Bureau that he regarded the security situation facing Poland as highly dangerous. Asked if the leaders of the West appreciated how far Ukraine is from winning the war with Russia, he opined that “an honest assessment of the threats was still both a surprise and a shock for most of them.”

The general also said there was no indication that Ukrainians who fled their country would return home to start reconstruction, adding that he felt that the NATO summit in Vilnius will be “a summit to define our credibility, of NATO, and the whole of the West.”

If the response was “late” and lacking in determination, then Ukraine would have no chance of a secure future.

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(B) OTOH, the ‘official’ article without ZeroHedge twisting actually reads as here under

rmx.news

Poland is becoming key NATO leader on mainland Europe, claims top military general

The center of gravity in NATO has shifted from Germany to Poland, the head of Poland’s military told MSNBC.

Speaking to the U.S. broadcaster, General Rajmund Andrzejczak claimed this was in part because of the strategic situation and Poland’s geographical location, but also because Poland has been investing heavily in its defense capacity.

Ukraine’s importance to Poland and the global order should not be overstated, and this is why Poland has helped to absorb refugees and provide much-needed military and humanitarian aid.

Asked how he evaluated the state of the war, the general said “it was entering a critical phase in which Ukraine needed to establish an advantage,” and called the current situation “dangerous and dramatic.”

Andrzejczak did not think Russia would relent despite the high number of casualties it is incurring. This is because the Russian military tradition is different from that of the West and its tolerance of casualties is far higher.

Asked about Poland’s leading role in pushing for the delivery of tanks to Ukraine, the general said that right from the start, Poland was prepared to send not dozens but hundreds of its old tanks but that now Ukraine needed modern Western equipment.

This is why Poland was at the forefront of building a coalition of countries ready to offer that kind of assistance, concluded Andrzejczak.

Poland’s governing conservatives have long been Ukraine’s most ardent supporters, agreeing to send tanks and armaments long before top Western leaders green-lighted the move. The government legalized Poles joining the Ukrainian army and has regularly pushed for more aid from Western leaders who have often been initially reluctant.

Polish leaders have also not shied away from spending what is necessary to defend the country.

Last month, Prime Minister Mateusz Morawiecki revealed that Poland will spend 4 percent of its GDP on defense this year, becoming the largest contributor relative to its economy in NATO.

This may be due to the fact that three-quarters of Poles believe the war in neighboring Ukraine threatens Polish security.


WSJ: Poland has covert plant repairing Ukrainian weaponry
The Wall Street Journal reports that Poland is making a serious effort to repair Ukrainian artillery and armored vehicles and then return to the front

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(C) OTTH, per the internet does not forget, here be how we got here






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