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Gold/Mining/Energy : Altair Nanotechnologies
ALTI 4.650+0.9%Dec 31 3:59 PM EST

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To: Rajiv who wrote (232)2/13/1998 9:30:00 PM
From: Rajiv  Read Replies (1) of 603
 
The key with any new technology is commercial viability.
Any new technology must deliver the goods to justify
its exploitation in a commercial venture.

Academic institutes rarely bother about things like
commercial viability. You would be amazed at what
goes in academic institutes - profs and grad students
will do anything to get tenure and projects. They will
never come out with results which are against the
interests of a sponsor. Before someone flames for these
comments, let me add that I am not accusing anyone.
The comments in this section are purely from my own
experience - having spent some time in an university
and attended conferences (the best in the field) where
majority of the papers presented are mediocre at best .

Let us go back to the DuPont angle. DuPont, BHP, etc
are huge - if any new technology with claims of
"super-powers" come out : they will have to show more
than passing interest. This is not a field with
hundreds of claims. ALTIF is not selling the CJ to
anyone (the official version is they intend leasing it).
The company has not generated any operating revenues so far
- my guess is that they have "gifted" a CJ to DuPont,
BHP etc. for evaluation. DuPont was given the Series 12
CJ for evaluation well more than a year back. If this
technology would have significant commercial potential
(After all this technology was supposed to turn the TN
property into a venture which would generate eps of $5
- remember this property is valueless using the currently
available technology), DuPont would have taken steps
to take control over the technology. There is a distinct
possibility that ALTIF has convinced that its Series 30 CJ
will have better promise (at least for evaluation) after
its Series 12 CJ did not show signicant commercial promise.
ALTIF is not spending significant $ on research - sign
that this unpromising (at least to me) technology cannot
be improved further

I am yet to see any evidence of the commercial viability.
The fact that ALTIF is not going full speed on its TN
project (remember the $$$ it is supposed to earn) leads
me to believe that this tech. is more hype than true.
Remember, this is a company which has difficulty raising
$5 million in the form of pure debt - the company obviously
could not show any convincing information to the lending
institutions.

There is of course the issue of insider sales - the insiders
(CEO included) does not think that the company will be bought
out at $50/shr or generate an eps of $5/shr (as claimed by
comments put up its webpage - how many companies do you
know that put up comments like these).

Finally, no one gains anything by flaming a person who has
taken a counter-position in the same stock. Let us keep
it that way.

Regards,
Rajiv
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