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Pastimes : Pokersam's Swamp Drain
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To: Kirk © who wrote (3599)7/27/2023 11:57:16 AM
From: POKERSAM1 Recommendation

Recommended By
Kirk ©

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Sure, no problem. You can save you time and effort searching my past. I have made lots of calls that failed.
Possible calls have evidence to support them. That are not made based upon how I feel that day.
I think I need to better differentiate between possible, probable, and confirmed.

When a top or bottom is possible based on the wave structure and other considerations, I will usually post it. There are calls that are merely possible and others that are probable and then others that are confirmed. My top call in Jan 2022 was confirmed on the 23rd of Jan.

This is a true statement. There are always doomsday calls at the end of a bear and bullish stampedes at the end of bull moves. "When optimism peaks a top is near." "Buy when there is blood in the streets".
"It never fails that a bear market rally brings out the bulls with rabid calls for higher prices just as it comes to an end."

I see your motive now and appreciate your concern. I am aware that posting an unconfirmed possible call runs the risk of reputation damage. It is the "crying wolf" problem of fairy tales. I don't know, a part of me says stop and another part of me says continue. I think about what I would prefer from an analyst I followed.
I think I would want to hear the possibilities. Of course I would have to believe that a possible call was only made when there is valid evidence to support it. Tops and bottoms are not always possible.
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