AMD, ARMH, INTC, NVDA Message Board

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Technology Stocks : AMD, ARMH, INTC, NVDA

AMD 237.62

-7.2%

Nov 6 3:59 PM EST

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next

To: Vattila who wrote (50849)

8/1/2023 8:43:25 PM

From: Vattila

Read Replies (2) of 72163

AMD 2023-Q2 EPS Contest (non-GAAP) — Results

Reported Results:		$0.58	$5.36B	$5.70B ± 0.30B
Rank	User	EPS	Revenue	Outlook
1	neolib	$0.58	$5.30B	$5.70B
2	Joe NYC	$0.58	$5.30B	$5.60B
-	Zacks Estimate	$0.57	$5.32B	$5.86B
-	Bing Chat	$0.59	$5.28B	$5.75B
3	Vattila	$0.60	$5.35B	$6.00B
4	Kelvin C.P. Wang	$0.60	$5.40B	$6.00B
5	rzborusa	$0.56	$5.29B	$6.34B
6	Pravin Kamdar	$0.55	$5.40B	$5.80B

Both Neolib and Joe hit bullseye on EPS, but Neolib also hit bullseye on the outlook, which edged him ahead on the second tiebreaker. Well done to both, as they managed to also beat Zacks and Bing! Following Bing, with a very near hit on the revenue, is my entry, just edging ahead of Kelvin.

Although Pravin ended up last, he does better on the leaderboard, where every category has equal weight. Here he is just ever so slightly beaten by Neolib. Joe follows closely in third place. Notably, we are all lagging both Zacks and Bing, which now hold the top spots on the leaderboard.

Thanks to all for playing!

---

Scoreboards

Note that, unlike the main EPS Contest, which is primarily ranked by EPS, these boards are ranked by overall score, which is an equally weighted average of subscores. Scores are calculated as (1+error)^-2 per quarter and normalized for the year by sum(scores)/4. The squaring of the denominator in the score calculation is just done to spread out the scores a little. There is no explicit relative weighting of EPS and revenue error, i.e. a 1 cent error in EPS equals a $10M error in revenue.

AMD 2023 EPS Contest Scores

2023 Leaderboard

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
-	Zacks Estimate	2	0.48	0.46	0.37	0.4342
-	Bing Chat	2	0.47	0.44	0.35	0.4224
1	neolib	2	0.49	0.40	0.37	0.4184
2	Pravin Kamdar	2	0.48	0.46	0.32	0.4172
3	Joe NYC	2	0.49	0.45	0.30	0.4131
4	Vattila	2	0.49	0.43	0.28	0.3983
5	rzborusa	2	0.49	0.45	0.24	0.3921
6	Kelvin C.P. Wang	2	0.49	0.42	0.25	0.3837

2023 Quarterly average

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
-	Zacks Estimate	2	0.95	0.92	0.74	0.8684
-	Bing Chat	2	0.94	0.88	0.71	0.8448
1	neolib	2	0.98	0.79	0.74	0.8369
2	Pravin Kamdar	2	0.95	0.92	0.64	0.8344
3	Joe NYC	2	0.97	0.90	0.61	0.8261
4	Vattila	2	0.97	0.87	0.55	0.7966
5	rzborusa	2	0.98	0.89	0.48	0.7842
6	Kelvin C.P. Wang	2	0.97	0.84	0.49	0.7674

AMD 2022 EPS Contest Scores

2022 Full year scores

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.92	0.83	0.62	0.7895
1	Joe NYC	4	0.82	0.72	0.75	0.7618
2	neolib	4	0.90	0.73	0.65	0.7617
3	Vattila	4	0.87	0.84	0.51	0.7390
4	Pravin Kamdar	4	0.81	0.71	0.69	0.7371
5	rzborusa	4	0.81	0.73	0.56	0.7020
6	Kelvin C.P. Wang	4	0.84	0.75	0.48	0.6925
7	gvatty	2	0.48	0.38	0.30	0.3848
8	fastpathguru	1	0.15	0.10	0.06	0.1038

2022 Quarterly average

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.92	0.83	0.62	0.7895
1	gvatty	2	0.95	0.75	0.60	0.7696
2	Joe NYC	4	0.82	0.72	0.75	0.7618
3	neolib	4	0.90	0.73	0.65	0.7617
4	Vattila	4	0.87	0.84	0.51	0.7390
5	Pravin Kamdar	4	0.81	0.71	0.69	0.7371
6	rzborusa	4	0.81	0.73	0.56	0.7020
7	Kelvin C.P. Wang	4	0.84	0.75	0.48	0.6925
8	fastpathguru	1	0.59	0.42	0.24	0.4153

AMD 2021 EPS Contest Scores

2021 Full year scores

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
1	Kelvin C.P. Wang	4	0.93	0.86	0.72	0.8397
2	Joe NYC	4	0.94	0.88	0.69	0.8367
3	rzborusa	4	0.95	0.78	0.70	0.8105
4	Pravin Kamdar	4	0.93	0.75	0.75	0.8101
5	gvatty	4	0.93	0.81	0.69	0.8068
6	Vattila	4	0.92	0.77	0.71	0.7966
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.83	0.65	0.53	0.6694
7	neolib	3	0.71	0.66	0.61	0.6614
8	engineer	1	0.24	0.18	0.21	0.2111
9	fastpathguru	1	0.23	0.18	0.15	0.1852
10	eetnoyer	1	0.20	0.17	0.10	0.1556

2021 Quarterly average

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
1	neolib	3	0.95	0.88	0.82	0.8819
2	engineer	1	0.96	0.73	0.84	0.8445
3	Kelvin C.P. Wang	4	0.93	0.86	0.72	0.8397
4	Joe NYC	4	0.94	0.88	0.69	0.8367
5	rzborusa	4	0.95	0.78	0.70	0.8105
6	Pravin Kamdar	4	0.93	0.75	0.75	0.8101
7	gvatty	4	0.93	0.81	0.69	0.8068
8	Vattila	4	0.92	0.77	0.71	0.7966
9	fastpathguru	1	0.92	0.71	0.59	0.7408
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.83	0.65	0.53	0.6694
10	eetnoyer	1	0.78	0.68	0.40	0.6222

AMD 2020 EPS Contest Scores

2020 Full year scores

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
1	Vattila	4	0.95	0.85	0.65	0.8169
2	neolib	4	0.98	0.80	0.61	0.7972
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.94	0.79	0.62	0.7856
3	Pravin Kamdar	3	0.72	0.62	0.50	0.6128
4	rzborusa	3	0.69	0.57	0.47	0.5812
5	Kelvin C.P. Wang	1	0.24	0.23	0.17	0.2150
6	jc474	1	0.23	0.19	0.19	0.2020

2020 Quarterly average

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
1	Kelvin C.P. Wang	1	0.96	0.92	0.69	0.8601
2	Pravin Kamdar	3	0.96	0.83	0.66	0.8171
3	Vattila	4	0.95	0.85	0.65	0.8169
4	jc474	1	0.92	0.74	0.76	0.8080
5	neolib	4	0.98	0.80	0.61	0.7972
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.94	0.79	0.62	0.7856
6	rzborusa	3	0.93	0.76	0.63	0.7749

AMD 2019 EPS Contest Scores

2019 Full year scores

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.99	0.97	0.96	0.9708
1	Vattila	4	0.98	0.96	0.84	0.9264
2	Pravin Kamdar	4	0.98	0.95	0.84	0.9258
3	rzborusa	3	0.73	0.70	0.70	0.7106
4	neolib	3	0.73	0.72	0.65	0.6977
5	knykny	2	0.49	0.46	0.40	0.4496
6	gzubeck	2	0.46	0.37	0.32	0.3822
7	THE WATSONYOUTH	1	0.25	0.24	0.25	0.2468
8	FUBHO	1	0.21	0.20	0.25	0.2199
9	Harvey Allen	1	0.20	0.17	0.25	0.2058

2019 Quarterly average

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
1	THE WATSONYOUTH	1	1.00	0.96	1.00	0.9871
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.99	0.97	0.96	0.9708
2	rzborusa	3	0.97	0.93	0.94	0.9475
3	neolib	3	0.97	0.96	0.87	0.9303
4	Vattila	4	0.98	0.96	0.84	0.9264
5	Pravin Kamdar	4	0.98	0.95	0.84	0.9258
6	knykny	2	0.97	0.93	0.80	0.8991
7	FUBHO	1	0.84	0.80	1.00	0.8796
8	Harvey Allen	1	0.80	0.67	1.00	0.8230
9	gzubeck	2	0.92	0.73	0.64	0.7643

Report TOU Violation

Share This Post

Public Reply Prvt Reply Mark as Last Read File

Previous 10 Next 10 Previous Next